Football Predictions for Week 3: Jets and Browns, Promising Underdogs to Bet On
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Face Challenges in Week 3
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, despite their home-field advantage, have found success more through routine and familiarity than intimidating opponents. Their all-time home ATS record stands at 167-180-14 (45.8%).
This week, they face the New Orleans Saints, a team with a top-tier defense that allows only 17.5 points per game. The Saints' pass rush creates pressure on 34% of dropbacks, which could pose a threat to Bucs' quarterback, Tom Brady.
The Bucs have one day less to prepare and recover from their Monday Night Football game. However, if backup quarterback Spencer Rattler provides competent play, the Saints should remain within one score against Seattle, according to betting models.
Meanwhile, the New York Jets, another Week 3 ATS underdog, are struggling. They are winless on the season, and their quarterback, Justin Fields, has been ruled out with a concussion. The Jets are coached by Aaron Glenn and are playing to avoid a 0-3 start.
The Green Bay Packers are currently favored by 8.5 points against the Cleveland Browns. The Browns have a 0-2 record and have struggled against Baltimore, contributing to the high spread. However, betting models suggest caution against overvaluing early-week blowouts, as lines often inflate after public overreaction.
The Packers' offense may score early, but conservative play calls and the Browns' ability to slow the game could keep things within two scores. The Browns' quarterback, Tyrod Taylor, demonstrated competence when he entered the game, completing 7 of 11 passes for 56 yards and a touchdown in garbage time.
In the NFC West, the Seattle Seahawks' offense remains a work in progress under coordinator Klint Kubiak. They have struggled with inconsistent execution on third downs and converting red zone touchdowns. If the Seahawks can improve in these areas, they could pose a challenge to the Buccaneers.
The Miami Dolphins, who were underdogs in Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with a 0-2 record, had the chance to support an NFL betting strategy that has been successful since 2010. Since then, backing winless NFL teams that are +3.5 or higher has posted an impressive record of 36 wins and 20 losses, with a winning percentage of 64.2%.
Head coach Aaron Glenn expressed significant frustration after the Bills' loss, stating, "It's not OK to lose like that." The Jets will look to bounce back and avoid a 0-3 start when they face the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3.
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