Football Highlights Determined by Wagering Statistics, Strength Ratings, and Trends - Preseason First Week
NFL Preseason Week 1 of 2025 Shows Strong Betting Trends
The opening week of the 2025 NFL preseason saw a notable pattern favouring the Over and underdogs, with a remarkable 88% success rate for overs (14-2-1) and competitive performances from underdogs, marking some of the best early results in two decades[1]. Games averaged going over totals by approximately 8.6 points, and first-half overs were also highly successful (13-4)[1].
In terms of DraftKings Betting Splits systems and VSiN Analytics team analysis, while the provided results focus mainly on MLB betting splits strategies from VSiN and DraftKings data, there is no explicit direct mention of their NFL preseason Week 1 betting splits or proprietary systems applied to the NFL preseason during early August 2025[2][4]. The MLB splits analysis suggests a cautious use of majority money and ticket splits, generally fading majorities unless a system identifies profitable angles; however, such detailed system-based guidance is absent for NFL preseason Week 1 in the given sources.
For expert moneyline picks in NFL Preseason Week 1, several teams were favoured based on preseason tendencies and coaching styles:
- Baltimore Ravens (+210) were considered preseason "royalty" with a strong winning record under John Harbaugh[3].
- Cincinnati Bengals (-260) were favoured before confirming starter playing time[3].
- Las Vegas Raiders (-230) were given the edge due to the Seattle Seahawks not playing starters, while the Raiders likely would[3].
- Cleveland Browns (+235) were supported due to rookie Shedeur Sanders' expected playtime[3].
In summary:
- Key Trend: Overs and underdogs yielded highly profitable results in 2025 NFL Preseason Week 1[1].
- No direct DraftKings NFL preseason betting splits system data is publicly detailed for Week 1 in these sources—VSiN’s Betting Splits systems focus more on MLB and advise fading majorities except in system-validated exceptions[2][4].
- Expert picks favour select underdogs and teams playing starters in Week 1 preseason contests based on historical coaching approaches and roster news[3].
For bettors seeking to apply DraftKings or VSiN-style systematic approaches to NFL preseason Week 1 of 2025, the best available data highlights looking for overs and underdogs while carefully evaluating team strategies and player usage rather than relying on majority betting splits given the limited public information on such NFL preseason splits systems as of now.
Notable Team Records and Trends
- Atlanta has a poor record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 11-2 record in the last 13 contests, scoring just 10 PPG.
- Detroit has a poor record SU and ATS as preseason chalk, going 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS in the last 7 contests.
- Philadelphia has a poor record in preseason games, going 5-14-2 SU and 6-14-1 ATS in the last 21 contests.
- Detroit has a good record of going Over the total in preseason games, with a 17-6 record in the last 23 contests.
- Green Bay has a good record SU and ATS in preseason games at Lambeau Field, going 14-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in the last 17 contests as preseason favourite since 2014.
- Detroit has a good record of going Over the total in preseason games, with a 36-1-1 ATS record in its last 38 contests.
- Houston has a good record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 12-3 record in the last 15 contests, total point production of 32.9 PPG.
- Philadelphia is on a 0-7-1 SU and 0-8 ATS skid at home in the preseason.
- Denver has a good record of going Under the total in home preseason games, with a 13-4 record in the last 17 contests.
- Tampa Bay has gone Over the total in the last 5 home preseason contests.
- Underdogs are 3-0 SU and ATS in all three preseason head-to-head meetings in San Francisco since 2014 in the Denver-San Francisco matchup.
- Buffalo has a good record SU and ATS in preseason home games, going 7-1 ATS in the last 8 contests and 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in the last 12 contests as preseason underdogs.
- New England has a good record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 14-4 record in the last 18 contests.
- New Orleans has gone 19-7-1 Under the total in its last 27 preseason tilts.
- Pittsburgh has a good record ATS as a preseason underdog, going 9-3 ATS in its last 12 contests.
- Home teams have covered all four preseason head-to-head meetings since 2014 in the Washington-New England matchup.
- Seattle has a good record of going Under the total in home preseason games, going 10-2 in the last 12 contests.
- Underdogs are 3-0-1 ATS in preseason head-to-head series since 2016 in the Dallas-LA Rams matchup.
- Seattle has a good record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 11-3 record in the last 14 contests.
- Detroit has a good record of going Over the total in the last 11 games following a preseason loss.
- Dallas has a poor record as a preseason favourite, going 4-13-3 ATS in the last 20 contests.
- Cleveland has a good record ATS since 2017, going 14-3-1 in its last 18 games as a preseason underdog.
- Atlanta has a poor record SU and ATS in its last 13 home preseason games, going 2-10-1 SU and 1-12 ATS.
- Chicago went 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in three preseasons under head coach Matt Eberflus, but now turns to newly hired Ben Johnson.
- Baltimore has lost its last seven preseason games ATS after an incredible 21-1-1 ATS stretch.
- LA Chargers are looking to end a 1-12 SU and 2-10-1 ATS skid in preseason home games.
- Miami has a good record SU and ATS in preseason games, going 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS in the last 17 contests.
- System #8 for NFLPS DraftKings Betting Splits indicates that for the 3+ week 2024 NFL preseason, majority bets groups on totals were 30-16 ATS (65.2%) when favoring Unders on total.
- System #1 for NFLPS DraftKings Betting Splits indicates that majority handle on sides has gone 37-55 ATS (40.2%) in the 2023-24 NFL preseasons.
- NY Jets have a good record SU and ATS in preseason games, going 12-3-1 SU and 12-4 ATS in the last 17 contests.
- Indianapolis has a good record of going Over the total in preseason games, with a 12-5 record in the last 17 contests.
- New Orleans is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in preseason head-to-head matchups with LA Chargers since 2017 in the New Orleans-LA Chargers matchup.
- Under the total is 3-0 in the last three head-to-head preseason meetings, going under the closing total by 12.8 points on average (110.5 listed total, 72 points scored) in the Dallas-LA Rams matchup.
- System #9 for NFLPS DraftKings Betting Splits indicates that when the majority of the handle backed either team in a 2024 preseason game that saw a line move of 3 points or more from open to close, that group was 12-6 ATS (66.7%), a very strong return.
- NY Giants have a poor record SU but a good record ATS in preseason games under head coach Brian Daboll, going 1-8 ATS in the last 12 contests as preseason favourites.
- Seattle has a poor record SU and ATS as a preseason dog, going 0-5 in the last 5 contests.
- San Francisco has a good record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 8-0-1 ATS record in the last 9 contests.
- Indianapolis has a good record of going Over the total when it is a preseason favourite, going 9-1 in the last 10 games.
- Buffalo has a good record SU and ATS in preseason games, going 13-4 SU and 11-5 ATS in the last 18 contests.
- System #6 for NFLPS DraftKings Betting Splits indicates that majority number of bets of 60% or greater on any team went 22-34 ATS (39.3%) in the 2023-24 NFL preseasons.
- NY Jets have a good record of going Under the total in preseason games, with a 8-2 record in the last 10 contests.
- Cincinnati has a poor record as a preseason favourite, going 2-7 ATS in the last nine games.
- Cincinnati has struggled in preseason games, with a 3-13-1 SU and 7-10 ATS record in its last 17 contests.
- Pittsburgh has a poor record SU and ATS in preseason games, going 0-3 SU and ATS in the last 3 contests after an 18-4 SU and 16-6 ATS run prior to last season.
- New Orleans enters the 2025 exhibition season on a 10-3 Under run on the road.
- System #4 for NFLPS DraftKings Betting Splits indicates that majority handle on a game with a point spread of 3 points or higher went 23-40 ATS (36.5%) in the 2023-24 NFL preseasons.
- Baltimore has a good record of SU in home preseason games, going 22-4 in the last 26 contests, but has lost its last 4 ATS.
- Cincinnati has a good record in road preseason games, going 9-2 ATS in its last 11.
- Kansas City has won and covered in all three preseason visits to Arizona since 2015 in the Kansas City-Arizona matchup.
- Atlanta has a poor record in preseason games, going 5-21-1 SU and 5-22 ATS in the last 28 contests.
- Jacksonville has put together back-to-back perfect exhibition seasons, going 6-0 SU and ATS, while outscoring opponents 26.8-11.3.
[1] NFL Preseason Week 1 of 2025 exhibited strong betting trends favoring the Over and underdogs
[2] VSiN’s Betting Splits systems focus more on MLB and advise fading majorities except in system-validated exceptions
[3] Expert picks favor select underdogs and teams playing starters in Week 1 preseason contests based on historical coaching approaches and roster news
[4] NFL Preseason Week 1 of 2025: Betting trends, expert picks, and DraftKings Betting Splits analysis
- In the 2025 NFL Preseason Week 1, overs and underdogs showed profitable results, with an 88% success rate for overs and competitive performances from underdogs[1].
- While the focus for DraftKings Betting Splits systems and VSiN analytics team analysis is mainly on MLB betting splits strategies, there's no clear data on their NFL preseason Week 1 betting splits or proprietary systems for the given sources[2][4].
- For expert picks in NFL Preseason Week 1, underdog teams and those playing starters were favored based on historical coaching approaches and roster news[3].
- Bettors might find the best approach for applying DraftKings or VSiN-style systematic methods to NFL preseason Week 1 by focusing on overs and underdogs while carefully evaluating team strategies and player usage rather than relying on majority betting splits given the present lack of explicit NFL preseason splits systems data.
[1] NFL Preseason Week 1 of 2025 exhibited strong betting trends favoring the Over and underdogs[2] VSiN’s Betting Splits systems focus more on MLB and advise fading majorities except in system-validated exceptions[3] Expert picks favor select underdogs and teams playing starters in Week 1 preseason contests based on historical coaching approaches and roster news[4] NFL Preseason Week 1 of 2025: Betting trends, expert picks, and DraftKings Betting Splits analysis
