Fertilizer crisis threatens India's planting season amid Gulf conflict fallout
Farmers across India are facing uncertainty as the upcoming planting season approaches. Rising fertilizer costs and potential shortages have raised concerns about food production. The issue stems from a broader crisis linked to the ongoing conflict in the Gulf region.
The disruption follows the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed up oil and gas prices worldwide. This has forced some fertilizer plants in India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh to halt production, leaving farmers with fewer options and higher expenses.
The crisis began after the 2026 Iran war and the subsequent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Gulf nations—including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iran—are key suppliers of raw materials for fertilizers. With exports severely disrupted, global fertilizer production has struggled to find alternatives.
Prices for fertilizers have climbed by roughly 30% in some regions. Countries heavily dependent on these supplies, such as India, Pakistan, and Brazil, now face shortages. Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Kenya, Somalia, Turkey, and Jordan are also among the worst affected.
Farmers in India worry about affordability and availability as they prepare for planting. While no official reports confirm changes to planting schedules or harvest plans, experts warn of possible yield reductions. The situation is further strained by the war's impact on food-exporting nations like Brazil and India, where agricultural markets are already under pressure.
Higher food prices could follow, with even a 5-10% increase posing serious risks. Millions of families, particularly those with children, may struggle to afford basic meals if shortages persist.
The fertilizer crisis shows no signs of quick resolution. Without Gulf exports, production gaps remain unfilled, and farmers face tough choices. If prices and shortages continue, food costs could rise further, affecting vulnerable populations across Asia, Africa, and beyond.
