Favoritism in Bovada's Tour de France bets for Stage 16 leans towards Pogacar (-350)
In the ongoing Tour de France, Tadej Pogacar currently leads Jonas Vingegaard by a significant margin of 4:13. However, another rider has caught the attention of many in the cycling world – Thymen Arensman.
Arensman, with odds of +2500 to win Stage 16, is considered a formidable contender for this challenging stage. The Dutch cyclist has demonstrated his exceptional climbing skills, having won multiple solo stages in the 2025 Tour de France, even beating top favorites like Pogacar and Vingegaard.
In 2023, Arensman was more of an outsider with promising climbing prowess, but his performances in recent years have confirmed that such prospects have since materialized strongly into successful stage victories on demanding mountain terrain. His endurance and tactical experience have grown, making him a serious threat on climbing stages like Stage 16 in subsequent Tours.
Betting $100 on Arensman to win Stage 16 at Bovada could potentially win $2,500. This is a significant profit compared to betting on Pogacar, who, with favored odds of -350, would only net an extra $28.57 for the same investment.
Other riders with similar odds to Arensman include Jonas Vingegaard (+800), Lenny Martinez, and several others. However, betting on top climbers like Martinez comes with a risk in Stage 16, which includes an intermediate sprint and plenty of flat racing before the climb of Mount Ventoux.
The 171-kilometer Stage 16 is taking place in Montpellier, France, and Arensman's trajectory and results since indicate a strong potential to perform well or even win in mountainous Tour stages.
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Sport betting is legal in some regions, and in the context of the Tour de France 20XX, Thymen Arensman, with impressive climbing skills, has odds of +2500 to win Stage 16. Other riders, such as Jonas Vingegaard (+800) and Lenny Martinez, also have significant odds, but betting on them comes with a higher risk due to the stage's challenging and varied terrain.