Far-right political group, the AfD, leads in Brandenburg election results.
Poll Shows Potential Shift in Brandenburg's Political Landscape
A recent poll conducted by the market research institute Insa suggests a significant change in voter preference in Brandenburg. The survey, which was commissioned by the Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ), Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ), and Lausitzer Rundschau (LR) and included 1,000 eligible voters in Brandenburg, was carried out from September 9 to 16.
The poll results indicate that if the state election were held this Sunday, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) would lead with 34% of the vote. This is a notable increase of 5 percentage points compared to the January poll and the election result in September 2024 (29.2%).
The ruling parties of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and the Left party have seen a decrease in support. The SPD, led by Minister President Dietmar Woidke, would receive 24% in the hypothetical election, a drop of nearly 7 percentage points from its election victory (30.9%). The Left party triples its result from the state election to 9% in the hypothetical election.
The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) receives 13% in the hypothetical election, a decrease of 4% compared to the previous poll. The Bavarian Christian Social Union (CSU) sister party, the BSW, would also see a decrease, getting 9% in the hypothetical election, a drop of 4%.
The poll also suggests that none of the Free Voters, FDP, or Greens would enter the Brandenburg state parliament. The Free Voters would still not make it into the state parliament, according to the poll (2%). The FDP would also not make it into the state parliament, according to the poll (2%). The Greens would get 4% in the hypothetical election.
It is important to note that the poll does not predict the election outcome, but reflects public opinion at the time of the survey. Decreasing party loyalty and increasingly last-minute voting decisions make it difficult for polling institutes to weight the data they collect.
The lead candidates for the Greens in the next Berlin state election are proposed to be the two parliamentary group leaders, Bettina Jarasch and Werner Graf, with Werner Graf aiming to become Governing Mayor if the Greens lead on election night. However, information specific to Brandenburg's Green candidates for the next state election is not explicitly provided in the search results.
The AfD's lead in the poll comes as a surprise, as the party has been embroiled in controversy in recent months. The poll results reflect a potential shift in voter preference in Brandenburg's political landscape. The poll was conducted by the market research institute Insa from September 9 to 16.
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