Far-right party FPÖ experiences unprecedented growth
Get ready for a nail-biting race in Vienna's election!
Brace yourself for potential surprises as the Freedom Party (FPÖ) is likely to ride a rollercoaster. After experiencing the most significant loss in 2020, the Blues could make a tremendous comeback, potentially setting a new record for growth. If the SPÖ falls below the 39.15% mark, it will be their worst result ever. The ÖVP may face a steep decline five years after their record-breaking gain, although it's unlikely to be a historic one. New records beckon for the NEOS.
Keep your eyes peeled for the Vienna election live ticker! The FPÖ's votes could surge by three times, with the previous highest increase being +12.82% in 1991. However, topping their previous best of 30.79% from 2015 seems challenging.
Will the SPÖ Slide Again?
Losses are expected for the SPÖ, the ruling party, potentially falling below the 40% mark again. A disastrous performance could lead to a new record low, but it would require a steep decline like the -8.66 percentage points they saw in 1996.
The ÖVP, with larger predicted losses, wouldn't break a new record if they crashed by more than 10.35 percentage points, as was the case in 1991. Even a new low would be tough to swallow, considering the city's Turks recorded their lowest vote share in the capital in 2015 with 9.24%. The NEOS would have to lose more than their 2010 record to set a new low.
The Greens have a high bar to clear after their record result in 2020 (14.80). On the other hand, the NEOS can hope for a new record if they exceed a vote share of 7.47%, their performance in 2020.
The Vienna election could see the SPÖ slipping below the 40% mark again, potentially setting a new record-low if they suffer a steep decline similar to the -8.66 percentage points dip in 1996.In contrast, the ÖVP may face significant losses, but a fall of more than 10.35 percentage points would be needed to break the 1991 record of the largest drop in their history.Meanwhile, the NEOS would need to lose more than their 2010 record to establish a new low, with hopes for a new record if their vote share exceeds 7.47%, achieved in 2020.Strangely, the Blues, despite experiencing a significant loss in 2020, might achieve an unprecedented growth, potentially surpassing their 1991 record of +12.82% increase, and possibly reaching the Viennese general-news headlines as a result of this political policy-and-legislation development.
