Far-right party All for UNitary Romania (AUR) takes the lead in Romanian voter preferences, with conventional parties encountering a decline in support.
In the latest poll by Informat.ro - INSCOP Research, the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) is leading the pack for parliamentary elections, with a whopping 38.1% of the vote from those expressing a party preference. Traditional parties are losing ground as the AUR solidifies its position as the primary political force in Romania.
According to the data gathered through 1,150 CATI (computer-assisted telephone interview) responses from a representative sample of the adult Romanian population, the Social Democratic Party (PSD) follows with 17.4%, the National Liberal Party (PNL) trails closely at 16%, and the Save Romania Union (USR) comes in fourth with 12.2%.
When narrowing the focus to those who declare they will definitely vote, AUR's support increases slightly to 38.3%, while the PNL takes second place at 16.6%. PSD drops to 15.2%, and USR remains steady at 13.3%. Minor parties such as the Hungarians' party UDMR (4.7%), the non-parliamentary SENS (4.1%), the far-right POT (3.5%), and SOS Romania (1.8%) also receive a sliver of the vote.
When considering total votes, including undecided voters and those not planning to participate, AUR commands a significant 32.2% support. PSD follows with 14.7%, PNL with 13.5%, and USR with 10.2%. The remaining parties and independents collectively account for around 11%, and nearly 16% of respondents are undecided, will not vote, or refused to answer.
Remus Ștefureac, director of INSCOP Research, explains that the combined voting intention for mainstream parties potentially capable of forming a governing coalition, such as PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR, stands at 50%. Opposition parties hold approximately 44%, while non-parliamentary parties gather a mere 6%. He attributes PSD's declining trend to repeated electoral setbacks, while the modest increase in PNL's support may be linked to Ilie Bolojan's return to party leadership.
Despite President Nicușor Dan's growing popularity, USR has yet to capitalize on any perceived association, possibly due to the rise of SENS, which now polls at 4%. Moreover, public engagement with the electoral process remains high, with 74.2% of respondents expressing a firm intent to vote.
References:[1] Enrichment Data - Overall finding and analysis based on polling data from Romania.[4] Enrichment Data - Additional insights about the current political landscape and the background of the parties mentioned.
Policy-and-legislation discussions in the general news are likely to address the potential governing coalition as the combined voting intention for mainstream parties such as PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR stands at 50%. Politics in Romania remains dynamic, with the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) leading the parliamentary elections polls, followed closely by the National Liberal Party (PNL) and Social Democratic Party (PSD).
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