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Far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads over the Union in recent polls, with Black-Red coalition losing support.

Bundestag Election Trend Revealed Daily: Who currently leads according to NZZ polls?

Union party trails behind AfD according to recent polls, with Black-Rod losing support
Union party trails behind AfD according to recent polls, with Black-Rod losing support

Far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads over the Union in recent polls, with Black-Red coalition losing support.

In the political landscape of Germany, the latest polls are painting a striking picture, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leading as the most popular party. The AfD's support is currently estimated at around 26%, surpassing the ruling conservative CDU/CSU alliance, which polls between 24% and 28%.

The AfD's rising popularity reflects its best national polling performance yet, while CDU/CSU support is declining relative to previous elections but they remain a significant force. Other parties show the following approximate support:

  • Social Democrats (SPD): around 13-16%
  • Greens: about 11-13%
  • The Left Party (Die Linke): roughly 10-12%
  • Free Democratic Party (FDP) and smaller splinters such as the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) poll below or near the 5% threshold needed to enter the Bundestag.

The current political climate is marked by a fragmented Bundestag, with a strengthening far-right shift and weakening traditional center-right leadership. This shift is challenging existing coalitions and the overall government stability.

The governing coalition, known as Ampel (SPD, Greens, FDP), is facing declining support due to internal conflicts and economic challenges. Growing numbers of undecided and non-voters (up to 25% in some polls) indicate potential volatility and uncertainty ahead of the next election, expected in 2029 but already showing shifting dynamics.

Interestingly, the trend of the Union party pulling away from the AfD in polls has stopped. In the latest Forsa poll, the AfD is once again ahead of the Union party. It is worth noting that the website NZZ.ch requires JavaScript for its functions, and users are advised to adjust their settings to enable JavaScript for optimal website functionality.

The 2025 federal election was held early in February 2025 after the collapse of the governing coalition. The CDU/CSU alliance emerged as the largest bloc with 28.5%, AfD achieved its strongest result ever at 20.8%, and the Left party improved significantly to 9%. However, recent polls since then indicate that AfD's support has grown further to around 26% and CDU/CSU support slipped to about 24-26%.

In summary, the AfD is currently leading most polls with around 26%, representing a surge in far-right support. The CDU/CSU ranks second, polling between 24-28%, down since the early 2025 election. The SPD, Greens, and Left parties linger in the 10-16% range each. The ruling Ampel coalition struggles with internal issues and reduced voter confidence. Undecided/non-voters remain high, signaling potential volatility for upcoming federal elections.

  1. The policy-and-legislation landscape in Germany is influenced significantly by the current shift in politics, as the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) leads in policy-and-legislation discussions, with a support of approximately 26%.
  2. The latest general news from Germany's political arena indicates that while the CDU/CSU alliance has shown a decline since the 2025 federal election, they remain a significant force, polling between 24-28%.

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