Bremen Poll: AfD Rises to 15%, SPD Still Leads Amid Loses
far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) Gains 15% Support in Bremen Survey; Social Democratic Party (SPD) Remains Ahead Despite Decline - Far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) gains 15% in Bremen polls, however, Social Democratic Party (SPD) remains in the lead despite suffering losses
Hey there! Here's a scoop on the latest polit polarisations in the city-state of Bremen.
You probably already heard that the AfD, due to an internal party dispute, wasn't allowed to participate in the May 2023 election. But, according to the latest survey, the party is currently galloping forward, clocking in at a whopping 15%—that's a sizable leap!
As for the traditional heavyweights, the SPD and CDU have taken a hit, both losing more than four percentage points compared to the previous election. But fear not, the Greens and The Left are on the rise, each picking up about two points.
Unfortunately for right-wing populist alliance "Germany," who earned 9.4% in 2023, they'd miss the cutoff with just three percent, making it out of the race. The FDP, who made it into parliament with 5.1% in 2023, is also lagging below the three percent threshold.
In case you're curious, the current government coalition of SPD, Greens, and Left, led by Mayor Bovenschulte (SPD), would still manage to cling onto a narrow majority. (Yes, we can see the tension simmering...)
Elections in Bremen occur every four years, and this particular survey was conducted smack-dab in the middle of the current legislative period. So, put on your hat and strap in—the next election's scheduled for 2027. Around 1,130 people were polled last week by Infratest dimap.
Now, here's a bit more insight:
Background Information
Germany has seen quite a shake-up in the political landscape lately, with the CDU/CSU alliance securing a victory and the far-right AfD placing a close second at the last federal election. This momentum towards conservative and populist parties could have a ripple effect on state-level elections like Bremen, where the SPD, traditionally strong, might face challenges from both sides.
Interestingly, the Greens and The Left may see variations depending on local issues and candidate popularity. Environmental and social policies have been known to play a significant role in voter decisions.
Moreover, with ongoing coalition negotiations between CDU/CSU and SPD at the national level, changes in government partnerships could impact state-level governments and alter party dynamics, depending on local coalitions and voter preferences.
While it's not entirely clear what the Bremen Parliament will look like by the next election, these national trends suggest that it might be worth keeping an eye on—stay tuned!
- Despite being barred from the May 2023 election, the populist AfD has risen to a significant 15% in Bremen, indicating a strong resurgence in the party.
- The SPD and CDU, traditionally Bremen's heavyweights, have both experienced losses exceeding four percentage points compared to the previous election, highlighting the shifting political landscape.
- The FDP, who made it into parliament with 5.1% in 2023, is below the three percent threshold for the 2027 election, putting their continued representation in question.
- According to the latest survey, the Greens and The Left are on the rise, each picking up about two points, suggesting that environmental and social policies remain influential in voter decisions.
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