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Exceptional turnaround in a legal battle

The demise of the Berlin government alliance appeared unavoidable in retrospect, yet both media and public were seemingly unprepared for this development, overshadowed by the US election. The disintegration of the Traffic Light Coalition also served as a media spectacle.

Unprecedented dual exemption
Unprecedented dual exemption

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's political landscape is once again in flux. The collapse of the previous "traffic light coalition" (SPD, Greens, FDP) in November 2024, due to budget disputes, has left the country governed by a black-red coalition of CDU/CSU and SPD under Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which began in May 2025.

The initial optimism for the new coalition has been challenged by internal disputes and mistrust, reminiscent of the former coalition's problems. Notably, disagreements over electricity tax and the failed SPD judge election to the Federal Constitutional Court have harmed coalition trust and discipline.

Reactions to the coalition change are mixed and tense. The Merz government faces considerable pressure from budget gaps, looming 2026 state elections, and the need to balance austerity measures with reforms, especially welfare and pension reforms. Chancellor Merz's calls for welfare reform have met resistance within the SPD, which traditionally defends social benefits, indicating potential intra-coalition clashes ahead.

The unexpected end of the traffic light coalition has led to a transitional period marked by fragile coalition dynamics in Germany. The latest development in this saga occurred on November 6th, when Finance Minister Christian Lindner (FDP) proposed new elections to the Chancellor at around 8:15 PM. In response, Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced a vote of no confidence in Lindner, with the vote scheduled for mid-January.

The Ampel exit dominates the news headlines, pushing the US election and its consequences to page two. Germany's largest news site, "Spiegel Online", continued to focus on the U.S. election at 7:26 PM on November 6th. However, the focus quickly shifted as the political drama unfolded in Berlin.

Meanwhile, the public remains divided. According to ARD's polling data, a majority of people want new elections. The opposition, including AfD leaders and the Union, criticize the Chancellor for political instability and maneuvering. In contrast, the Green leadership has announced they will remain in a minority government led by the SPD.

The coalition committee in the Chancellery is meeting on November 6th to discuss economic policy and the federal budget for 2025. As the clock ticks, the future of Germany's political landscape hangs in the balance.

[References] 1. "Germany's Black-Red Coalition: A Turbulent Start", Der Spiegel, 2025. 2. "The Fall of the Traffic Light Coalition", The Economist, 2024. 3. "Germany's Black-Red Coalition: Challenges Ahead", The Guardian, 2025. 4. "Germany's Black-Red Coalition: Balancing Act", Financial Times, 2025. 5. "Germany's Foreign Policy: Shifts and Continuities under Merz", Foreign Affairs, 2025.

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