Enjoyment of Selection Dilemma for Howe After Vibrant Kickoff to the Season
In the upcoming Premier League clash between Fulham and Newcastle United, data-led simulations predict a closely contested match rather than a clear-cut victory for either side.
Newcastle United, currently sitting in third place, are marginally favored by some models, but the advantage is not overwhelming. The Magpies have been impressive this season, recording 10 points from their first four games, their best start since the 1995-96 campaign. Manager Eddie Howe is enjoying a selection headache, thanks to the stellar performances of his players.
However, Newcastle have been grappling with injuries for much of last season, and their current roster still lacks key player Alexander Isak, who is sidelined. Despite this, Opta's supercomputer gives Newcastle around a 30.2% chance of winning without Isak.
Fulham, under the guidance of head coach Marco Silva, are expected to pose a formidable challenge. The Cottagers have shown resilience, with Emile Smith-Rowe making a positive start to his Fulham career, contributing to two goal involvements since his move from Arsenal. Smith-Rowe also boasts an impressive record against Newcastle, winning four out of five games he has played against them and scoring once.
Historically, matches between these two sides have often ended in draws. Three of their last four meetings ended as stalemates, demonstrating a tendency towards close contests. One prediction source suggests a Newcastle win with a 2-1 scoreline and recommends a Newcastle double chance bet combined with under 3.5 goals, reflecting the potential for a tight match with few goals.
Newcastle have a strong record against Fulham at Craven Cottage. They have won each of their last four away league games against Fulham, having previously lost six in a row. Harvey Barnes has been instrumental in Newcastle's success, scoring and assisting in each of his last three Premier League appearances for the Magpies.
Despite Fulham's strong home record against Newcastle in the past, their recent form has been less impressive. They have won just one of their last six Premier League home games. Newcastle's defensive solidity is evident, with their difference of 3.5 between goals conceded and expected goals against being the best in the Premier League this season.
Both teams will be eager to secure a crucial victory in this closely contested match. Newcastle United aim to return to the Champions League this season, while Fulham will be looking to bounce back from a shock exit from the Carabao Cup to Championship side Preston North End. The match promises to be an exciting and closely fought encounter.
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