Going for Round Three? A Look at Changing the Two-Term Limit for U.S. Presidents
Donald Trump's Third Term: William Hill Sets Odds at +500 for Constitution Alteration
It seems the rumblings of a third term for President Donald Trump aren't dying down any time soon. Despite the usual two-term limit, Trump has made his desires clear, aiming to become the first president to buck the trend. That's not an easy feat, as a potential amendment to the Constitution would be needed.
The favored candidate for the 2028 presidency, as suggested by Vice President JD Vance, currently holds a lead with odds of +250, with Donald Trump Jr. and Gavin Newsom close behind at +900. Interestingly, even Elon Musk, despite being ineligible due to his South African birth, is offered at +3300 by the betting giant William Hill.
But how feasible is this? The 22nd Amendment, as it stands, imposes a two-term limit on the executive branch. To change that, a two-thirds majority in the House, Senate, and state governments would need to agree on a proposal. Yet, the Republican Party, though majoritarian in Congress, lacks the necessary support, and the Democrats control 18 states, making ratification a major hurdle.
Trump's supporters propose an intriguing solution—Vance could win the election with Trump as his vice president, only to resign, allowing Trump to assume the role for a third term. However, this scenario, while not impossible, raises legal questions and concerns over its legality and constitutional intent.
Political betting has gained traction in the UK, with some politicians ending up in hot water for indulging in it. With the next U.S. election around the corner, markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are booming, having gained popularity during the previous election.
However, it's essential to note that while amending the Constitution is theoretically possible, the process would be arduous and controversial. Legal loopholes, if they exist, are uncertain and would likely face opposition from those concerned about the erosion of democratic principles and the Constitution's integrity. Any attempt to change the two-term limit would need to overcome these concerns to become a reality.
- Elon Musk, ineligible due to his South African birth, has odds of +3300 by the betting giant William Hill for the 2028 presidency, despite the 22nd Amendment's two-term limit on the executive branch.
- In the realm of politics and general-news, betting markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have gained popularity, even as some politicians have found themselves in hot water for engaging in such activities.
- Given the controversial nature of amending the Constitution, any attempt to change the two-term limit for U.S. Presidents would face significant hurdles and raise legal questions about democratic principles and the Constitution's integrity.
- Trump's supporters propose a strategy where Vice President JD Vance could win the election with Donald Trump as his vice president, only to resign and allow Trump to assume the presidency for a third term. However, this proposal, while not impossible, raises legal concerns over its legality and constitutional intent.
