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Germany's Black-Red Coalition Faces Challenges After 100 Days
After 100 days in power, Germany's Black-Red coalition, led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, is facing criticism due to internal disputes, mistrust, and disagreements on key policy issues. The coalition, comprising the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) and Social Democrats (SPD), has seen tensions surface between the two parties, raising doubts about coalition discipline and effectiveness.
The coalition's main points of contention include the electricity tax dispute, a political setback in the election of an SPD judge to the Federal Constitutional Court, disagreements over immigration policy, foreign policy and arms exports, energy policy direction, economic reform pace, and budget shortfalls.
The electricity tax dispute, a key issue damaging trust between the CDU/CSU and SPD, has caused friction, with the CDU/CSU expressing strong protest when the issue was taken to the public. The coalition's approach to immigration policy has also been a source of contention, with former Chancellor Angela Merkel criticizing the coalition for aligning too closely with far-right anti-immigration stances.
Chancellor Merz's unilateral decision to suspend arms exports to Israel created internal displeasure, reflecting tensions in decision-making and communication within the coalition. The coalition's energy policy direction has also caused criticism, with the coalition pushing for more cost-efficiency possibly at the expense of renewable energy targets.
Economists criticize the coalition for insufficient structural reforms and expansionary pension measures, with nearly half rating its economic policy negatively. The coalition is also facing budget shortfalls and the need to balance austerity with reform efforts amid growing political competition.
Additional pressures include looming state elections in 2026, with five states set to hold elections, including Saxony-Anhalt with a strongly represented AfD. The coalition's performance is deemed poor according to polls, with only 29% satisfaction, the lowest since the government took office.
Vice Chancellor Lars Klingbeil acknowledged that governing is not much fun at the moment. The SPD Leader, Baerbel Bas, sees a need for further talks with the Union regarding the judges' dispute. The resolution of the judges' dispute before the next round of elections in Karlsruhe in the Bundestag in September is uncertain.
The behavior of the coalition partner, the Union, has shaken trust in Union faction leader Jens Spahn (CDU) within the SPD. The Federal President, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, criticized the coalition, stating that they have damaged themselves. CSU leader Söder has already referred to the black-red coalition as the "last bullet of democracy."
Despite these challenges, Chancellor Merz and Vice Chancellor Klingbeil have a reliable relationship and can talk on equal terms. The current coalition, Black-Red, led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU), has been in power for 100 days. The alternative to relying on economic recovery is saving, but that's unlikely to work without reforming the social systems, which could be painful for the SPD. Especially the Union is counting on the economy picking up and filling the coffers with tax revenue, but this is a risky bet. The SPD feels reminded of the FDP's behavior in the Traffic Light coalition, which repeatedly questioned cabinet decisions.
The coalition's ability to maintain cohesion and effectively govern remains to be seen as they navigate these challenges ahead.
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