Despite strong polling numbers, the Minister from Merz predicts the AfD party will see a significant decline.
In a significant shift in German politics, the latest ZDF "Politbarometer" survey has revealed that the Union and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) are neck and neck, each party polling at 26 percent. This marks the first time the two parties have been level in the polls.
The rise in support for the AfD has been a gradual one, with the party's fortunes improving since Friedrich Merz became Chancellor. However, Merz, the current Federal Chancellor of Germany, had previously expressed optimism about the AfD's future, particularly with regards to immigration policy.
In a recent statement, Merz had expressed his belief that he could halve the AfD, a sentiment he expressed in 2018 during his candidacy for the CDU chairmanship. However, his optimism seems to have waned as the AfD's popularity has continued to grow.
Wolfram Weimer, the independent Minister of State for Culture and Media in the Merz cabinet, has a different outlook. Weimer predicts that the AfD will receive 9 percent of the votes in Germany after the 2029 Bundestag election, a significant drop from their current polling figures. Weimer's prediction is in line with his earlier statement that the AfD would be at nine percent in 2029.
The SPD remains unchanged at 15 percent in the polls, while the Greens have seen a slight decrease, with their support falling to 10 percent. The Left party, on the other hand, has seen a small increase, with their support at 11 percent.
The polls also show a deterioration of one percentage point for the Union compared to two weeks ago, while the AfD has improved by one point. This could potentially mean that there would not be a parliamentary majority for the current black-red coalition.
The polls also indicate that six percent of the votes will go to other parties. The BSW and FDP would each get three percent, still not enough to enter the Bundestag.
Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla lead the right-wing populist party AfD. Their leadership seems to have resonated with voters, as the party continues to gain support.
The ZDF "Politbarometer" survey was conducted by the Mannheimer Research Group and published on Friday. The results of the survey have caused a stir in German politics, with many analysts predicting a shift in the political landscape in the coming years.
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