Derby Steeds' Profiles: A Glimpse into Each Compeitor at the Kentucky Derby
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- Citizen Bull (20-1) Record: 6-4-0-1 Trainer: Bob Baffert Jockey: Martin Garcia Best Beyer Speed Figure: 98 Earnings: $1,451,000 Mr. Ed's Take: The rail post might be a hindrance for the star horse, but if Citizen Bull takes the lead early, he'll be tough to beat on my Exacta ticket.
- Neoequos (30-1) Record: 7-2-2-2 Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr. Jockey: Flavien Prat Best Beyer Speed Figure: 91 Earnings: $291,050 Mr. Ed's Take: Another speedball who may be compromised by the inside post. Dull record doesn't excite me, so bet at your own risk.
- Final Gambit (30-1) Record: 4-2-1-1 Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Luan Machado Best Beyer Speed Figure: 90 Earnings: $520,639 Mr. Ed's Take: Big fan of Brad Cox, but I was disappointed by Tappan Street's unfortunate injury. A recent win at Turfway doesn't impress, so pass.
- Rodriguez (12-1)- SCRATCHED
- American Promise (30-1) Record: 9-2-1-1 Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Nik Juarez Best Beyer Speed Figure: 95 Earnings: $444,874 Mr. Ed's Take: Not on my dance card. The "Coach" has been here and done this, but this colt is no Charismatic. Not today.
- Admire Daytona (30-1) Record: 6-2-2-0 Trainer: Yukihiro Kato Jockey: Chistophe Lemarie Best Beyer Speed Figure: - Earnings: $672,047 Mr. Ed's Take: Too busy handicapping those who have a chance. I like Daytona Speedway, but not this guy.
- Luxor Cafe (15-1) Record: 6-4-1-0 Trainer: Noriyuki Hori Jockey: Joao Moreira Best Beyer Speed Figure: - Earnings: $379,057 Mr. Ed's Take: A Japanese racer will eventually win the Derby, just not this year. Riding an impressive four-win streak, but he's no match for this class.
8: Journalism (3-1) Record: 5-4-0-1 Trainer: Michael McCarthy Jockey: Umberto Rispoli Best Beyer Speed Figure: 108 Earnings: $638,880 Mr. Ed's Take: If speed figures won Derbys, there would be many more West Coast winners. Inside post compromises his chances. Undefeated since debut loss. Perfect work early Sunday attests to readiness.
- Burnham Square (12-1) Record: 6-3-1-1 Trainer: Ian Wilkes Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr. Best Beyer Speed Figure: 96 Earnings: $977,755 Mr. Ed's Take: He's way over-priced at 12-1. The mid-gate draw should benefit his late-running style. I was on him for his Holy Bull win, off him for Blue Grass, and I'm back on him today. One of my top plays.
- Grande (20-1) - SCRATCHED
- Flying Monarch (30-1) Record: 6-2-2-0 Trainer: Whitworth Beckman Jockey: Joseph Ramos Best Beyer Speed Figure: 84 Earnings: $295,800 Mr. Ed's Take: This slowpoke has my attention. Everything is improving, and his speed figure suggests a possible in-the-money finish.
- East Avenue (20-1) Record: 5-2-1-0 Trainer: Brendan Walsh Jockey: Manny Franco Best Beyer Speed Figure: 96 Earnings: $654,395 Mr. Ed's Take: Walsh had an excellent Keeneland meet, and Franco is a top NY jockey. Recent work after an impressive Blue Grass effort shows he's ready. Watch for him in the Winner's Circle.
- Publisher (20-1) Record: 7-M-2-3 Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr. Best Beyer Speed Figure: 95 Earnings: $407,756 Mr. Ed's Take: Never count all-time wins leader Asmussen out of contention. The colt, son of Derby winner American Pharoah, is improving with every race as a 3-year-old. I like his chances in the money.
- Tiztastic (20-1) Record: 8-3-1-2 Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Joel Rosario Best Beyer Speed Figure: 95 Earnings: $1,549,800 Mr. Ed's Take: Regression is expected here. No chance.
- Render Judgment (30-1) Record: 7-1-2-1 Trainer: Kenny McPeek Jockey: Julien Leparoux Best Beyer Speed Figure: 90 Earnings: $250,672 Mr. Ed's Take: Not sure what this slowpoke is doing here. Kenny McPeek, you've lost your mojo.
- Coal Battle (30-1) Record: 8-5-0-1 Trainer: Lonnie Briley Jockey: Juan Vargas Best Beyer Speed Figure: 91 Earnings: $1,188,875 Mr. Ed's Take: Don't know much about the horse or connections. He's bagged a bunch of money while winning five of eight against nobodies. Pass.
- Sandman (6-1) Record: 8-3-1-2 Trainer: Mark Casse Jockey: Jose Ortiz Best Beyer Speed Figure: 99 Earnings: $1,254,595 Mr. Ed's Take: Expect Casse's charge will be over-bet. Despite an excellent record, he puts me to sleep. Can't recommend a win wager.
- Sovereignty (5-1) Record: 5-2-2-0 Trainer: Bill Mott Jockey: Junior Alvarado Best Beyer Speed Figure: 95 Earnings: $572,800 Mr. Ed's Take: Improving efforts put him on my short list, replacing Tappan Street. Mott-Alvarado team is a proven winner. The outside post suits his closing style.
- Chunk Of Gold (30-1) Record: 4-1-3-0 Trainer: Ethan West Jockey: Jareth Loveberry Best Beyer Speed Figure: 92 Earnings: $348,818 Mr. Ed's Take: Another lesser-known, lightly raced contestant. Pass.
- Owen Almighty (30-1) Record: 7-3-2-0 Trainer: Brian Lynch Jockey: Javier Castellano Best Beyer Speed Figure: 93 Earnings: $499,935 Mr. Ed's Take: Oh by gosh, by golly, it's Owen Almighty. Great name, no chance.
- Baeza (12-1) Record: 4-1-2-0 Trainer: John Shirreffs Jockey: Flavien Prat Best Beyer Speed Figure: 101 Earnings: $148,500 Mr. Ed's Take: Best rider in America and a high last-race Beyer Speed Figure aren't enough to convince me. He's not on my radar, one way or the other.
- Bob Baffert, trainer of the thoroughbred '8: Journalism', has a possible contender for the Kentucky Derby, given the horse's record and best Beyer Speed Figure.
- The 'thoroughbred 8' is currently priced at 3-1 in the sports of horse-racing, and its trainer, Michael McCarthy, expects the horse to perform well despite the inside post compromising its chances.
- Acknowledging the impressive work rate of 'Luxor Cafe', a Japanese racer, Mr. Ed suggests that while the horse is in good form, it may not be a winning contender in this year's Kentucky Derby racing due to a class discrepancy.
- In the Kentucky Derby, a thoroughbred named 'East Avenue' is on Mr. Ed's radar, with trainer Brendan Walsh having an excellent Keeneland meet, and jockey Manny Franco being a top NY rider. Mr. Ed predicts a possible in-the-money finish for East Avenue in the Winner's Circle.
