Democrats appearing disorganized and lacking direction in preparation for the 2028 presidential election, according to CNN's Data Chief.
The Democratic Party is currently experiencing significant historical divisions as the 2028 presidential election approaches. This is a situation not seen since 1992, marked by a lack of a clear frontrunner, low party favourability, and internal uncertainty.
These divisions are primarily due to the Democratic brand's historically low favourability in public opinion, contributing to voter indecision and reluctance to coalesce around a single candidate. Internal disagreements and factionalism have emerged after the 2024 midterm and presidential elections, exposing challenges in party unity and strategy. Strategic decisions, such as changes to the 2024 primary calendar to favour then-incumbent Joe Biden, have stirred debate over fairness and inclusivity within the party’s nomination process.
The effects of these divisions are a wide-open primary race expected to be one of the most contested and lengthy in recent history. Many potential candidates, including high-profile figures like Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Cory Booker, Raphael Warnock, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, are quietly positioning themselves for the nomination.
Potential candidates such as Kamala Harris, who has indicated she might not pursue the California governorship and may be considering a presidential run, are keeping their options open. Governors like Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania), Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan), Jared Polis (Colorado), and Phil Murphy (New Jersey), as well as senators such as Cory Booker (New Jersey), Chris Murphy (Connecticut), Raphael Warnock (Georgia), and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York), are also being mentioned as potential candidates.
The Democratic National Committee is currently deliberating over the 2028 primary calendar and process reforms to ensure fairness and openness, reflecting lessons learned from the 2024 election cycle.
The Kalshi prediction market, a platform that predicts the outcomes of various events, including political elections, includes California Gov. Gavin Newsom, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidates. According to the Kalshi prediction market, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has the highest chance of being the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 20%. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has a 15% chance, while former Vice President Kamala Harris has a 6% chance. However, none of these candidates are polling at 25% or higher in early national polling for the 2028 election.
In conclusion, the historical divisions within the Democratic Party reflect both ideological and strategic fractures, intensified by external political challenges and internal debates about the party’s direction and leadership for 2028. These factors have led to a very competitive and unpredictable nomination contest.
- The wide-open primary race for the 2028 Democratic presidential election is influenced by the historical divisions within the party, with an lack of clear frontrunner, low party favourability, and internal uncertainty causing voter indecision.
- The effects of these divisions can be seen in the 2028 primary calendar deliberations by the Democratic National Committee, aiming to ensure fairness and openness in the nomination process.
- Potential candidates such as Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Cory Booker, Raphael Warnock, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Gavin Newsom are being eyed as possible candidates, with differing chances according to the Kalshi prediction market.
- In the realm of general news, crime-and-justice, migration, war-and-conflicts, policy-and-legislation, and car-accidents take center stage amidst the political elections, while fires and other occurring accidents also gain attention.
- Please note that the prediction market suggests that California Gov. Gavin Newsom has the highest chance of being the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee at 20%, but none of the candidates, including Harris, Ocasio-Cortez, and Buttigieg, are polling at 25% or higher in early national polling for the 2028 election.
