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Contest for a by-election in Bolivia between two opposition figures

Political Transition in Bolivia: October's runoff election will determine the country's next leader between the front-runners.

Opposition-led by-election contest in Bolivia between two rival candidates
Opposition-led by-election contest in Bolivia between two rival candidates

Contest for a by-election in Bolivia between two opposition figures

Bolivia is gearing up for a historic presidential runoff on October 19, 2025, marking the country's first-ever presidential runoff under the 2009 Constitution. This significant event could potentially end the prolonged political dominance of the Movement for Socialism (MAS) party.

The two candidates vying for the presidency are Senator Rodrigo Paz Pereira and former President Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga. Paz Pereira, a centrist moderate, secured 32.8% of the vote in the first round, while Quiroga, a right-wing former president, garnered 26.4%.

Rodrigo Paz's political platform focuses on a moderate, centrist approach, aiming to soften the austerity measures proposed by other opposition forces. He is seen as a dark-horse candidate trying to rescue Bolivia from looming economic collapse by advocating for economic moderation rather than harsh austerity.

By contrast, Jorge Quiroga represents a right-wing political stance, likely emphasizing fiscal conservatism and reforms typical of right-wing governance. Having served as president from 2001 to 2002, his platform reflects the first significant chance for a right-wing government after over two decades of leftist dominance by the MAS.

Bolivia, one of the poorest countries in South America, is experiencing a deep economic crisis, with challenges such as fuel and foreign exchange shortages, high inflation, and lack of medication. The country's rural and indigenous regions have been particularly affected. According to the 2012 census, 41% of Bolivians aged 15 and over are of indigenous origin, with estimates from 2017 putting this figure at around 48%.

Ethnic affiliation plays a much smaller political role than it did under former President Evo Morales, who was the country's first indigenous president. The politics of Bolivia have been dominated by a power struggle between Morales and outgoing President Luis Arce, neither of whom ran for re-election in the presidential election.

Paz Pereira advocates for institutional reforms and a moderate modernization program to facilitate foreign investment. He also plans to continue his family's political tradition and open the economy. On the other hand, Quiroga shows openness to cooperation with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He aims to reduce the deficit in the public sector, implement selective privatizations, and gradually decrease fuel subsidies.

The leftist government relied heavily on subsidies, particularly for fuels, which strained the state budget. The Bolivian electorate, according to KAS expert Stolte, seeks not a revolution but stability in the runoff election.

The mining of lithium, a crucial resource for electric vehicles and batteries, has been slow in Bolivia. However, a change of government could facilitate investments in this sector.

Incidents occurred on the fringes of the vote, with leftist candidate Andrónico Rodríguez being attacked and an explosion being reported at the same location, but no information on injuries was initially available. Additionally, a new parliament was also elected.

Violence against women and girls is high in Bolivia, and economic hardship often leads to protests. Both candidates belong to different political parties: Paz Pereira is from the center-right Christian Democratic Party, and Quiroga is from the right-wing party Libertad y Democracia.

This runoff election will decide Bolivia's next leader, and the outcome could have significant implications for the country's economic future and political landscape.

  1. The upcoming presidential runoff in Bolivia comes amidst war-and-conflicts, political instability, and policy-and-legislation changes that the country has been facing.
  2. Rodrigo Paz Pereira, a centrist candidate, champions a moderate approach in dealing with the economic crisis, including emphasis on migration and car-accidents-related policies.
  3. On the other hand, Jorge Quiroga advocates for a right-wing policy approach, focusing on crime-and-justice, fiscal conservatism, and reforms.
  4. General-news outlets have been covering the runoff election extensively, providing insights into the candidates' political platforms.
  5. Despite the focus on economic hardships, sports such as football, soccer, basketball, baseball, hockey, golf, and racing continue to captivate the public's attention in Bolivia.
  6. The Champions League and NFL have been discussed in sports-betting forums, with some linking the performance of these teams to political and economic events.
  7. Mixed-martial-arts and tennis fans follow these sports-analysis closely, hoping to gain an understanding of the mental fortitude required to navigate political and economic challenges.
  8. Weather-forecasting is crucial in Bolivia due to its diverse geography, with weather affecting various sectors, including agriculture, transportation, and energy.
  9. In addition to the presidential runoff, the election of the new parliament will shape policy-and-legislation trends in Bolivia.
  10. Rural and indigenous regions have been disproportionately impacted by the economic crisis, leading to calls for policy changes that address the needs of these communities.
  11. The mining industry, particularly lithium, plays a significant role in Bolivia's economic future, with potential technological advancements in the electric vehicle sector.
  12. Incidents such as violence against women, car-accidents, and fires continue to plague Bolivia, highlighting the need for effective policymaking in crime-and-justice and emergency-response sectors.
  13. Crimes related to politics and corruption are a concern for the Bolivian electorate, with the runoff election expected to bring transparency and accountability.
  14. The Calendario Nacional de Copa de las Naciones de Fútbol (the Copa America), European leagues such as the Premier League and Serie A, Laliga, and the NBA are popular in Bolivia, providing a welcome distraction from political events.
  15. The MLB, NHL, WNBA, and NCAA-basketball tournaments, among others, have garnered widespread attention and interest in Bolivia.
  16. As Bolivia moves towards a more stable political landscape, policymakers may focus on implementing new policies in sports, weather-forecasting, and auto-racing industries.
  17. The change in political leadership could have significant implications for Bolivia's immigration policies and the integration of migrants.
  18. In the midst of the election, the weather predictions show a mix of sunny and rainy days, with temperatures slightly cooler than average.
  19. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has been involved in discussions about the economy, potentially working closely with the new government to address fiscal issues.
  20. Bolivia's economic recovery hinges on the decisions made by its leaders in the coming years, with experts suggesting that a balanced approach between austerity measures and economic moderation will be key to sustaining progress.

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