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Support for the Black-Coalition decreases, according to recent polls

Decline in public approval for the coalition led by Germany's Minister President Mario Voigt (CDU),...
Decline in public approval for the coalition led by Germany's Minister President Mario Voigt (CDU), including parties CDU, BSW, and SPD, reported in a recent survey.

Thuringia's Political Tide Shifts: A Six-Month Check-In

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Welcome back to the rolling tides of Thuringia's political scene! After six months, the support for the ruling parties in Thuringia has seen a noticeable shift, according to a recent poll by Insa. The alliances of CDU, SPD, and Greens (colloquially known as the "Blackberry" coalition) now collectively bag only 43% of the votes, a drop compared to the state election held eight months ago.

One party feeling the heat the most is none other than the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance, which now loops in just 11% of the votes with the Sunday question. It's been quite the slide since the party managed a 15.8% score during that state election.

In stark contrast, the AfD remains the hierarch in Thuringia, with an unwavering presence. The party has managed to hold onto 35% of the votes after the state election, according to Funke Media Thuringia's reports. While the CDU remains relatively steady at around 24%, the SPD has gained a nifty 1.9% compared to the state election, climbing to 8%.

It's worth noting that while we're here, we can't ignore the growing influence that the AfD is wielding in eastern Germany. The party's federal election performance earlier in 2025 indicated a respectable 38% in Thuringia, and the trend shows no signs of abating.

On the other hand, the CDU and SPD find themselves grappling with challenges, much like they do nationally. As they struggle to retain voter support and maintain their traditional dominance, coalition dynamics take center stage. The maintainability of coalition governments, especially against the backdrop of the AfD's rise, will serve as a significant determinant for the political direction of Thuringia in the coming months.

Key Players and Their Present Scenario

  1. AfD (Alternative for Germany): The AfD's robust performance in Thuringia is reminiscent of its ascension at the national level, where it consistently polls around 26%[2]. Be it immigration concerns or economic issues, the party seems to have tapped into the pulse of the populace with its hard-line stance.
  2. CDU (Christian Democratic Union): The CDU has been grappling with its own set of challenges, as it finds itself less popular than the AfD nationally, polling around 24%[2]. Its stronghold in German politics is undeniable, but the party must work diligently to regain its robust support base and remain a viable coalition partner.
  3. SPD (Social Democratic Party): The SPD has a storied history in German politics, yet it faces internal divisions and declining support in certain regions. It's part of the coalition aimed at keeping the AfD from any power-grab, a key focus for political strategies beyond Thuringia's borders.
  4. Blackberry Coalition (CDU, SPD, and Greens): The Blackberry coalition is an essential part of state-level politics in Germany. While the term "Blackberry" may not be standard, the partnership between the CDU, SPD, and the Greens is common. The stability of such coalitions will be crucial for governance in Thuringia during the coming months.

The shifting political sands of Thuringia provide an intriguing undercurrent to the broader German political landscape. Will the Blackberry coalition weather the storm or cave under the relentless pressure of the AfD's rise? It's a fascinating tale unfolding, and the write-up of history remains to be seen.

  1. The community policy of Thuringia is likely to see significant changes due to the shifting political tide, with the AfD wielding increased influence and the Blackberry coalition (CDU, SPD, and Greens) losing support.
  2. The migration policy in Thuringia may undergo re-evaluation, given the AfD's firm stance on immigration issues and their continued popularity.
  3. In the realm of policy and legislation, the CDU and SPD are facing challenges in maintaining their traditional dominance and securing voter support, as they grapple with issues such as war-and-conflicts, car-accidents, and accidents.
  4. The employment policy in Thuringia is of concern, with the Blackberry coalition losing support and the AfD remaining stable, potentially causing strain in coalition governments.
  5. General news, crime-and-justice, fires, and other everyday issues may lead to policy changes in Thuringia as the political landscape continues to evolve, with the AfD's influence growing and the Blackberry coalition facing pressure to adapt.

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