China's 2024 Plans Unveiled through Discussion with Lude Media
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is strategically positioning itself for a modernised and technologically advanced military campaign, with a focus on short, decisive conflicts in the Far East. This transformation of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) aims to make it a formidable force capable of winning "local wars under high-tech conditions."
Taiwan, a self-governing island, is a paramount focus of the CCP's military preparations. The PLA views Taiwan's reunification as essential to realising the "Chinese Dream" and restoring China's great-power status by 2049, the centennial of the People's Republic of China. To achieve this, the CCP has been increasing defence spending and acquiring advanced weapons systems, including aircraft carriers, stealth fighters, and nuclear submarines.
The CCP's approach to Taiwan involves not only military modernization but also a political strategy to undermine the trust of the local Taiwanese people in the United States while fostering trust in the People's Republic of China. A flier recently released by the CCP stated that Taiwan will be returned to Chinese control in the near future, and the CCP is reportedly infiltrating local Taiwanese religious groups, particularly those following Mazu, as part of the Mazu Plan.
The CCP's strategic doctrine advocates for localized, high-tech conflicts with limited scope rather than large-scale wars. Taiwan is viewed as the most critical flashpoint, but the PLA is also preparing for other contingencies involving space and cyber domains. Analysts suggest that control of Taiwan would enhance China’s military threat regionally, though the incremental military advantage might be more nuanced when compared to current baseline threats to U.S. interests.
Despite the CCP's military preparedness, there remains debate among experts about the timing of a potential invasion, with some seeing it as possibly within a decade, while others think it may be further off. The ongoing military and political leadership changes under Xi Jinping, including extensive purges of senior PLA officers, reflect a drive to consolidate control and reinforce discipline, which influences military readiness and strategic planning.
In the broader context of potential conflicts in the Far East, the CCP is preparing for a wider war, with China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea forming an alliance, often referred to as the Axis of Evil. However, the CCP's economic instability could potentially limit its ability to fund military operations in multiple regions simultaneously.
The CCP's strategic posture indicates its determination to assert control over Taiwan and enhance its regional military influence while maintaining internal cohesion and technological superiority of its armed forces. However, it is important to note that the CCP's actions should be closely monitored, as the regime has been described by some as an "empire of lies."
References: [1] "China's Military Modernization: Implications for U.S. Policy," U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 2016. [2] "China's Military Strategy," Ministry of National Defense, People's Republic of China, 2015. [3] "Xi Jinping's China: A New Era of Authoritarianism," Brookings Institution, 2016. [4] "The Mazu Plan: China's Strategy for Taiwan," The Jamestown Foundation, 2018. [5] "China's Grand Strategy: Assessing the New Normal," Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2017.
- In addition to its focus on a modernized military, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is also implementing a political strategy to erode trust among Taiwanese people towards the United States and bolster trust in the People's Republic of China.
- The CCP, with its focus on localized, high-tech conflicts, is reportedly infiltrating local Taiwanese religious groups, particularly those following Mazu, as part of the Mazu Plan.
- The CCP's strategic doctrine envisions a role for advanced weapon systems, such as aircraft carriers, stealth fighters, and nuclear submarines, in attaining its goal of Taiwan's reunification.
- Experts are debating the timing of a potential invasion of Taiwan, with some predicting it within a decade and others suggesting a later date, taking into account ongoing leadership changes and internal consolidation under Xi Jinping.
- Amidst preparations for conflicts in the Far East, the CCP is forming alliances with countries like Russia, Iran, and North Korea, setting the stage for a broader regional war, which could be challenged by the CCP's own economic instability.
