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CDU leads over SPD in poll for Rhineland-Palatinate's ruling party

Vote Intentions Suggest CDU Leads Over SPD in Rhineland-Palatinate, According to Latest Poll

Legislature in Mainz convenes for discussion and decision-making.
Legislature in Mainz convenes for discussion and decision-making.

Latest Poll Shows CDU Remains Ahead in Rhineland-Palatinate Election

CDU maintains a considerable lead over SPD in polls for Rhineland-Palatinate state elections - CDU leads over SPD in poll for Rhineland-Palatinate's ruling party

Current poll numbers for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election in March 2026 suggest a close race, with the CDU narrowly leading. The poll, conducted by Infratest dimap, shows that compared to the December poll, both the CDU and SPD have suffered minor losses, whereas the AfD has gained support.

In the new poll, the CDU is at 34%, representing a decrease of two percentage points from the last poll. The SPD shows a one-point dip, sitting at 26%. The right-wing AfD, considered by 69% of voters as a right-wing extremist party, according to the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, has seen a significant increase, standing at 17%. The Greens remain unchanged at 11% and the Left, currently non-represented, would enter the state parliament in Mainz with 5% of the vote.

Notably, the Free Voters remain unchanged at 4%, thus falling short of the requirements to enter the parliament. The FDP, currently governing in coalition with the SPD, Greens, and Alexander Schweitzer, experiences a one-point drop, reaching 3%.

The current government, led by Schweitzer, garners 47% approval from respondents, while 45% are less satisfied or not satisfied at all. In a hypothetical direct election of the head of government, 40% would vote for Schweitzer, with Gordon Schnieder, the CDU's top candidate, receiving 17% of the vote. However, only 39% prefer a state government led by the CDU, while 37% prefer an SPD-led government.

Despite agreeing with the classification of the AfD as a right-wing extremist party, only 42% of respondents support a ban on the party, with 48% opposing such a move.

As of June 2025, a recent Infratest dimap poll specific to the Rhineland-Palatinate state election is not publicly available. However, national trends and historical voting patterns provide some insights into the possible outcomes:

  • The CDU, with strong national appeal, may see increased support in western states.
  • The AfD, while growing in national support, is unlikely to have a significant impact at the state level without coalition partners.
  • The Greens and Left's success varies, and their national surge may not directly translate to Rhineland-Palatinate, but environmental concerns could boost the Greens.
  • Coalition-building is crucial as no single party is projected to win a majority. Previous Rhineland-Palatinate governments have been led by the SPD, with possible coalition support from the Greens or FDP.

With the state election fast approaching, stay tuned for updates on Rhineland-Palatinate's political landscape.

  1. The Commission, apart from its proposal on ionizing radiation, has been requested to draft a proposal for a directive on the harmonization of laws among Member States regarding workers' protection from radiation risks, a matter that steers the discussion towards policy-and-legislation.
  2. The fierce competition in Rhineland-Palatinate's state election has also attracted attention in general-news and politics, as migration, war-and-conflicts, crime-and-justice, and accidents are some of the pressing issues that candidates are expected to address.
  3. A car-accident or fire incident can happen unexpectedly, emphasizing the need for prompt action and the importance of policies focusing on emergency response and disaster management.
  4. As fires may be accidental or might occur intentionally, the line between crime-and-justice and accidents can blur, necessitating a comprehensive approach in policy-making to address such incidents.
  5. Although the CDU maintains a slight edge in the Rhineland-Palatinate election, issues such as migration and environmental concerns, as represented by the Greens, are likely to have a significant impact on the election's outcome, indicative of the public's diverse priorities.

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