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CDU leading in polls over ruling SPD in Rhineland-Palatinate election

CDU maintains significant lead over ruling SPD in Rhineland-Palatinate, according to recent survey

Members of Mainz State Parliament convene for deliberations, debates, and decisions on regional...
Members of Mainz State Parliament convene for deliberations, debates, and decisions on regional matters and legislation.

Poll Reveals CDU Remains Ahead in Rhineland-Palatinate's Upcoming Election

CDU takes the lead over SPD in Rhineland-Palatinate, according to recent polls. - CDU leading in polls over ruling SPD in Rhineland-Palatinate election

Take a glance at the latest poll results for Rhineland-Palatinate's state election in 2026! The conservative CDU remains a frontrunner with a two-point decrease since December. Meanwhile, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) sees a minor one-point drop.

In third place, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is storming ahead, gaining a significant three percentage points, standing tall at 17%. The Greens maintain their position with an unchanged 11%. The previously non-parliamentary Left may finally enter the state parliament in Mainz, sitting comfortably at 5%.

The Free Voters stay steady at 4%, missing the cut to enter the parliament. The Free Democrats (FDP) see a decline of one point, standing at 3%, potentially leaving the state parliament as well. Currently, a traffic light coalition of SPD, Greens, and FDP governs Rhineland-Palatinate, with Alexander Schweitzer at the helm.

Over 1140 eligible voters were surveyed between last week Tuesday and this week Tuesday. A whopping 47% are very satisfied or satisfied with the state government's work. In a direct election for the head of government, 40% would opt for incumbent Schweitzer, while CDU candidate Schnieder receives 17%. Given a choice, 39% prefer a CDU-led government, and 37% advocate for an SP-led government.

A majority of 69% view the AfD as a right-wing extremist party, aligning with the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution's classification. Despite this, 61% are concerned about the democracy being threatened by the AfD. However, only 42% support a party ban, while 48% oppose such measures.

Stay tuned for more updates as the state election approaches on March 22, 2026!

  • CDU
  • SPD
  • AfD
  • Greens
  • Rhineland-Palatinate
  • State Election
  • 2026
  • Alexander Schweitzer
  • Mainz
  • FDP
  • Regional Poll
  • Southwest Broadcasting
  • Gordon Schnieder
  • Free Voters
  • Right-wing Extremism

Enrichment Data:In the recent 2025 federal election, the SPD experienced a large loss, dropping to 16.4%, while the Greens saw a decline to 12%. The CDU/CSU gained popularity, and the FDP failed to secure seats in the Bundestag with a 4.3% result. The CDU/CSU and SPD formed a coalition, with Friedrich Merz becoming Chancellor on May 6, 2025. As of recent polls, CDU/CSU is leading with 27.3%, followed by AfD with 23.1%, SPD at 15.5%, and Grüne at 11.6%. The current government coalition parties combined have around 48.7% support, indicating potential challenges in maintaining a stable government. Regional dynamics in Rhineland-Palatinate, such as local issues and voter preferences, are not explicitly mentioned in the provided information. For a comprehensive understanding of Rhineland-Palatinate's political landscape, specialized regional polls and recent political developments would be necessary.

In light of Rhineland-Palatinate's state election approaching on March 22, 2026, there are concerns about the potential threat to democracy from right-wing extremist parties, such as the AfD, despite 69% viewing them as such. This political landscape has bearings from the recent federal election in 2025, where the SPD, Greens, and CDU/CSU experienced significant changes. The SPD, for instance, dropped to 16.4%, while the Greens saw a decline to 12%. Conversely, the CDU/CSU saw a rise in popularity and formed a coalition government with the SPD. Although the SPD, Greens, and FDP currently govern Rhineland-Palatinate, the conservative CDU remains ahead in the regional polls, with a two-point decrease since December. Meanwhile, the far-right AfD is gaining ground, increasing its support by three points. The war-and-conflicts and policy-and-legislation domains may influence voters' decisions, as the Commission has been asked to submit a proposal for a directive on the protection of workers from the risks related to exposure to ionizing radiation, which is a relevant concern in crime-and-justice and accident-prone industries such as car-accidents and fires. Migration and general-news issues might also play a role in shaping the election outcome.

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