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CDU and AfD have an identical standing in the latest public opinion surveys.

CDU and AfD parties show identical levels of support in recent surveys, raising questions about the political future.

Inside the CDU, discontent arises over the outcomes of the coalition talks to date and the...
Inside the CDU, discontent arises over the outcomes of the coalition talks to date and the negotiation strategy of frontrunner Friedrich Merz.

Merz set for Chancellorship: CDU/CSU and SPD Strike Coalition - What Happens Next?

  • CDU/CSU
  • Coalition Talks
  • Friedrich Merz
  • AfD

Political parties CDU and AfD equal in survey results: Consequences and future scenarios - CDU and AfD have an identical standing in the latest public opinion surveys.

Germany's political landscape has witnessed a significant shift as Friedrich Merz's CDU/CSU bloc has formed a coalition agreement with the center-left Social Democrats (SPD). This agreement paves the way for Merz to potentially become the next Chancellor of Germany, following the CDU/CSU's emergence as the strongest force in February's federal elections, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) securing more than 20% of the vote.

What Comes Next in German Politics?

  1. Coalition Approval: The CDU/CSU-SPD coalition deal needs the approval of both parties. The Social Democrats' membership will vote, and an April 28 convention will be held for Merz's CDU [1][2][3].
  2. Leadership and Policy: If approved, Friedrich Merz is expected to assume the role of Chancellor, replacing Olaf Scholz. The coalition aims to prioritize economic growth, defense spending, and migration policies [2][3].
  3. AfD Exclusion: Merz has dismissed the idea of an alliance with the AfD due to its links to right-wing extremism, antisemitism, and racism. This decision was a critical factor in Merz's decision to form a coalition with the SPD [1].
  4. Policy Conundrums: The coalition agreement may face obstacles due to policy differences, particularly concerning Israel and international law. The CDU/CSU has historically supported Israel's security concerns, while the SPD has been more critical of Israeli policies [1].

Key Players in German Politics

  • Friedrich Merz: As head of the CDU, Merz spearheaded the coalition talks with the SPD. His anticipated chancellorship may focus on economic and defense issues while managing international relations [1][2].
  • Alternative for Germany (AfD): Despite its strong electoral performance, the AfD's radical views have kept it out of coalition discussions. Its impact may persist in shaping public opinion and pushing other parties to adopt more conservative views [1].
  1. The CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, aims to prioritize employment policy in the upcoming coalition with the SPD, as they work to strengthen the economy and improve defense spending.
  2. Pressure mounts on CDU leader Friedrich Merz as he negotiates with coalition partner SPD, particularly over contentious policy matters like Israel and international law.
  3. As the AfD's radical views continue to influence public opinion, German politicians, such as Merz and other coalition members, must grapple with the challenge of coalitional stability and policy implementation in light of the AfD's strong showing in the recent elections.

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