Betting Strategies for the US Open at Oakmont: Six Key Recommendations for Successful Wagers
The 125th US Open promises to be a thrilling event, with several top-tier competitors vying for the title. Among the frontrunners are World No.1 Scottie Scheffler and defending champion Bryson DeChambeau. But there's more to this tournament than just the outright winner. Let's dive into some unique markets for this year's US Open.
Top LIV Golfer
The US Open field is packed with formidable competitors such as Bryson DeChambeau, Jon Rahm, Joaquin Niemann, and Tyrrell Hatton. Even ruling out standouts Brooks Koepka, Cameron Smith, and Patrick Reed, the competition remains fierce. DeChambeau is the favorite for this market at 19/10[1][3][4], but the red-hot Niemann at 13/2 could spark interest after his latest LIV Golf victory[1].
However, over 72 holes in a Major, I favor Rahm over both DeChambeau and Niemann. The Spaniard is a better iron player, which could prove crucial in DeChambeau's game, giving Rahm odds of 13/5 to beat DeChambeau in this category[1].
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First Round Leader
In last year's US Open, Rory McIlroy and Patrick Cantlay led after the first 18 holes. McIlroy, currently at 22/1 for the first round leader, has been a consistent contender in recent years. However, his driver worries make him a questionable prospect[5]. Cantlay hasn't shown enough promise, so we'll explore other options.
Ludvig Aberg, a 40/1 shot, shot a 66 in the first round of last year's US Open. However, we prefer Xander Schauffele at 33/1 as our pick. Schauffele led alongside Rickie Fowler in 2023, both shooting 62, and has the best first-round birdie average over the last five US Opens, making him a solid consideration[5].
Top Englishman
Tyrrell Hatton and Tommy Fleetwood are the favorites for this category but the value might lie with Matt Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is around 8/1 to be top Englishman in the field, has long drives and impressive accuracy. Plus, he won this event a few years back, and he finished T8 at the 2023 PGA, making him a strong contender for this category[5].
Could McIlroy Miss the Cut?
After his epic Masters win, it's hard to imagine McIlroy missing the cut. However, his new driver woes and driver issues on the Canadian Open cut make it a possibility at 7/2[4]. McIlroy will need to conquer his tee troubles if he wants to succeed at Oakmont.
Top Left-Hander
Given the scarcity of top left-handed golfers in the game, it's tough to bet against Phil Mickelson in his final US Open appearances. Although difficult to see Mickelson returning to form, he has better odds than the likes of Robert MacIntyre, Brian Harman, and Akshay Bhatia, making him our pick for top left-hander[5].
Top Australasian
Min Woo Lee is the favorite for this category, but let's take a chance with the veteran Adam Scott. Scott has strong odds of 5/1 to claim top Australasian honors in a wide-open market. While Cam Smith has struggled to perform in recent majors, Scott has finished higher than Jason Day, who has missed the last two US Open cuts, in four of the past six Majors[5]. Moreover, Scott had a top 20 finish at the 2016 US Open at Oakmont, displaying his ability to excel at this course.
[1] https://www.golf-monthly.co.uk/news/tour-news/us-open-2023-betting-odds-favourites-later-rounds-135054[2] https://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open-2023[3] https://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open-outright-winner[4] https://the-sports-bet.com/us-open-golf-2023/[5] https://www.picksandparlays.com/us-open-2023-bets-predictions-tips
Sports enthusiasts might be interested in the Top Englishman market for this year's US Open, where Matt Fitzpatrick could make a strong case with his long drives, impressive accuracy, and previous win in the tournament. Meanwhile, the debate of Could McIlroy Miss the Cut is worth considering, given his recent driver worries and a past history of tee troubles [5].
