- May 27: MLB Dinger Day Amid Declining Home Run Rates
Bet on Home Run Prop Today: Gain a +1742 HR Parlay for Tuesday, May 27th
A number of Major League Baseball (MLB) teams are currently grappling with a notable decrease in home runs, with the Toronto Blue Jays being one of them, currently possessing the fifth-fewest home runs in the league. This drop appears to be a result of a variety of factors, including some underperforming power hitters, changes in hitting performance, and broader offensive trends.
For instance, Anthony Santander, previously a key contributor to the Blue Jays with a 44-home run season in 2024, has delivered only six home runs so far in 2025, slugging at just .324 - significantly lower than his previous output. His barrel rate, an important measure of power, has also experienced a significant decline this season.
However, not every team is experiencing such a decline, as players like Aaron Judge are enjoying historically strong power seasons. Yet, numerous individual players or teams are experiencing slumps or regressions, which could be due to factors such as adjustments to new teams, injuries, or changes in pitcher strategies, such as the increased use of breaking pitches or advanced scouting.
The likelihood of a swift recovery for the overall league's home run numbers depends on multiple underperforming sluggers bouncing back to their former levels. Some struggling hitters, like Alec Bohm, possess underlying metrics suggesting they continue to make good contact, which could translate to improved performance if they experience better luck.
On a more optimistic note, today presents a potential turning point with Dinger Day occurring in the MLB. While it's challenging to predict a rebound in home run rates without a guaranteed timeline, two promising potential candidates for today's home run parlay have been identified: Shohei Ohtani and Royce Lewis.
Shohei Ohtani currently presents an attractive pick, priced at +240, especially considering his matchup with Tanner Bibee, who has given up 11 home runs in just 58 innings this season, six of which have been hit by left-handed batters in only 113 plate appearances. Meanwhile, Royce Lewis serves as an under-the-radar candidate, demonstrating impressive power but priced at longer odds due to extended injury recovery. Taj Bradley, Lewis's opponent, has surrendered five home runs to right-handed hitters in 127 plate appearances.
Gamblers are encouraged to remember to play both legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/4 unit two-leg parlay, exploiting the +1742 odds at FanDuel that this home run parlay generates. A $100 bet would produce profits of $1742 if both legs hit.
- In the MLB, Shohei Ohtani has an appealing odds of +240 for a home run today, given his matchup against Tanner Bibee, who has conceded 11 home runs in 58 innings, with six of them coming from left-handed batters.
- Another potential candidate for a home run in the MLB's Dinger Day is Royce Lewis, who despite being priced at longer odds due to injury recovery, showcases impressive power and is facing Taj Bradley, who has surrendered five home runs to right-handed hitters in 127 plate appearances.
- Given the impressive odds of +1742 offered by FanDuel, it may be wise for sports bettors to consider a parlay bet on both Shohei Ohtani and Royce Lewis, with a 1/4 unit bet on both legs straight and a 1/4 unit two-leg parlay, which could potentially generate profits of $1742 if both legs hit.
