Battle is underway.
In the highly anticipated UFC 305 fight between Mateusz Gamrot and Dan Hooker, set to take place in Perth on August 18, online predictions and simulations suggest that Gamrot has a significant advantage. The Polish fighter is favoured with a 75% chance of victory, according to various platforms and social media analyses, mainly due to his wrestling skills.
Analysis indicates that Gamrot's background in wrestling could give him an edge in controlling the fight, potentially leading to a decision victory. However, Hooker, known for his striking skills and ability to finish fights with knockouts, poses a threat if he can keep the fight standing.
Despite Hooker's win over Gamrot via split decision in their previous match, recent analyses lean towards Gamrot due to his grappling prowess. Hooker, a basic kickboxer who has won championships in Supremacy FC and Australian FC, has struggled with porous stand-up defence and poor ground defence in his recent performances.
Gamrot, currently on a three-win streak, has won his last three fights against Jalin Turner, Rafael Fiziev, and Rafael Dos Anjos. His last loss was against Beneil Dariush in 2022. The Polish fighter is also a two-time KSW champion and Polish BJJ champion, with options to finish Hooker via KO/TKO or submission.
If Gamrot is to secure a victory, he may need to close the distance to start working near the net. He has a reach disadvantage of over 12 cm in the upcoming fight, but his extensive wrestling and grappling experience could help him overcome this.
For the most accurate and up-to-date odds, checking reputable sportsbooks near the event would be advisable. Zenit Sportsbook offers the best odds to back Gamrot at 1.30. However, it's important to note that official odds for the fight are not yet available.
Hooker, ranked 11th in the UFC lightweight division, has earned five performance bonuses in the UFC. Despite his stand-up strengths, he has been taken down in the stand-up and caught in submissions in the past.
The optimal bet, according to predictions, is for Gamrot's victory and over 1.5 completed rounds. As the fight date approaches, more detailed and stabilized odds are expected to become available.
Mateusz Gamrot is aiming for the title and is set to face Dan Hooker at UFC 305 in Perth on August 18. The fight promises to be an exciting one, with both fighters bringing their unique skills to the octagon.
In the upcoming UFC 305 fight between Mateusz Gamrot and Dan Hooker, Gamrot's background in wrestling and grappling might give him an upper hand, as he could potentially leverage control and lead to a decision victory. Despite Hooker's striking skills and past wins, his struggles with stand-up defense and ground defense could be exploited by Gamrot.
