Baseball Predictions Today: Greg Peterson's Top Picks for May 1st

Title: MLB Picks Today for May 1: Greg's Word on the Mound

Wanna make the day exciting with some sweet baseball action? Check out this lowdown on today's MLB picks, brought to you by the one and only, legendary handicapper Greg Peterson! You can catch him on his Daily MLB Lines and the ever-entertaining Baseball Betting Show Podcast. And hey, don't forget to chase the splits at our MLB Betting Splits.

Ready to make some money!? Get a load of these picks for May 1:

12:40 PM Eastern

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Andrew Abbott, the Reds' starter, has been dynamite with a 3.60 ERA and 12 K's per 9 innings. His crew's bullpen ain't too shabby either, rocking a smokin' 3.46 ERA. Gonna be a boss showdown against the Cardinals, who rank a lowly 25th in bullpen ERA at 4.80. Cardinals' boy, Matthew Liberatore, has a peculiar habit of shine at home (3.51 ERA, 0.7 HR/9) compared to the road (5.86 ERA, 1.1 HR/9).

Pick: Reds Moneyline -120 (Greg's Prediction: Reds -136)

1:10 PM Eastern

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians have been on a roll with Ben Lively, despite his 4.40 ERA and 1.5 HR/9. With a top-notch bullpen that's got the lowest AL ERA since the season started, things are lookin' good for 'em. Twins' Simeon Woods Richardson, on the other hand, ain't nothing special, y'know, like a league-average performance (4.07 ERA and FIP).

Picks: Guardians Moneyline -108, Under 9 Runs (Greg's Prediction: Guardians -126, Over 7.9)

2:10 PM Eastern

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox

Sean Burke's had a tough go of it this season, with a 6.00 ERA and 6.52 FIP, averaging 2.3 HRs and 3.7 BBs per 9 innings. All of that's somethin' the Brewers can take advantage of, especially since Chad Patrick's got a 2.47 ERA, improv'n to 1.88 as a starter. They're goin' up against a White Sox lineup that's been scoreless lately, av'gin just 3.4 runs per game at home.

Pick: Brewers Run Line -1.5 +100 (Greg's Prediction: Brewers Run Line -1.5 -124)

6:45 PM Eastern

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Taijuan Walker's bounced back from a rough 2024 season with a 2.78 ERA but, he's averagin' four walks per 9 innings. Brad Lord, on the other hand, has struggled since fillin' in as a starter, boastin' a 4.67 ERA and allowing 4.7 BBs per 9 innings.

Picks: Phillies Run Line -1.5 +115, Over 9.5 Runs (Greg's Prediction: Phillies Run Line -1.5 -111, Total 9.6)

9:38 PM Eastern

Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Angels ain't doin' well with Yusei Kikuchi, who's got a 4.32 ERA, and a below-average 5.2 walks per 9 innings. Their bullpen ain't shine' much either, rankin' the worst in the AL with a 5.04 ERA. Casey Mize's been in fine form, though, with a 2.12 ERA, especially after starrin' in four games with zero or one runs allowed. Detroit's bullpen ain't too shabby either, rankin' 4th in ERA at 2.79.

Pick: Tigers Moneyline -110 (Greg's Prediction: Tigers -128)

9:45 PM Eastern

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Justin Verlander ain't quite the ace he used to be, bringin' a 4.99 ERA this season. But, his 8.2 Ks per 9 innings offer a glimmer of hope for improvement. The Rockies are dead last in road offense, goin' for just 2.1 runs per game. Rockies' starter, Kyle Freeland, has struggled lately, boastin' a 5.93 ERA, with three of his last four games goin' for at least five runs. The Rockies are on pace for a dismal 27-135 season after a bad 5-25 start.

Pick: Giants Run Line -1.5 -105 (Greg's Prediction: Giants Run Line -1.5 -142)

Extra Info

Max Fried, mentioned in the results, has a 1.19 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 2025, ranking 2nd in AL ERA[4].
Some unnamed pitchers in the results show metrics like a 4.31 ERA (left-hander)[1], 2.30 ERA (rookie)[2], and 5.95 ERA with 3.62 xERA (Williams)[3].

For verified statistics, always consult official MLB sources or databases like Baseball-Reference. And remember, all picks are subject to change as weather or other factors may intervene.

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Greg Peterson, the legendary handicapper, is providing his MLB picks for May 1 on his Daily MLB Lines and Baseball Betting Show Podcast.
In the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds game, Greg supports the Reds Moneyline with odds of -120, predicting -136.
In the Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians game, Greg recommends the Guardians Moneyline at -108 and Under 9 Runs.
In the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago White Sox game, Greg suggests the Brewers Run Line -1.5 with odds of +100, predicting a lower value of -124.
For the Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels matchup, Greg favors the Tigers Moneyline at -110, predicting a slightly lower value of -128.