Baseball Forecasts for Today: Top Picks by Greg Peterson for May 17th
💰 Today's MLB Picks (Saturday, May 17, 2025) 💰
Take a gander at expert baseball handicapped Greg Peterson's top picks for today, and listen to his Greg's Daily MLB Lines and the Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Don't forget to check out the MLB Betting Splits too! 🖥️
Game 1: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees - 1:05 PM 🎯Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt has struggled early with a 4.73 ERA, but things appear to be looking up for him after a string of solid starts at Yankee Stadium, giving up just three runs total and hitting rock bottom with a 7.20 road ERA. On the opposite side, Mets' Griffin Canning is shining with an impressive 2.36 ERA and a 0.9 home runs per nine innings allowed. Don't forget about the stellar bullpens of both teams, as the Yanks' stands ninth in the league with a 3.47 ERA, while the Mets' comes in at fourth with a 2.98 ERA. 💥
🔔 Our Pick: Mets vs. Yankees Under 9.5 Runs (Greg's Handicapped Total 8.7)
Game 2: Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles - 4:05 PM 🎯Orioles starter Kyle Gibson has had a rough start to the season with a whopping 13.11 ERA and 5.4 home runs and 4.6 walks per nine innings. Nationals' Jake Irvin's 4.00 ERA is relatively decent, but his 5.17 fielding independent pitching (FIP) and 1.7 home runs per nine innings allowed show some room for improvement. Both bullpens have been shaky with 4.95 ERA for the Orioles and 6.75 ERA for the Nationals, but the lack of offense from the Orioles has been a big surprise, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. ⚾️
🔔 Our Picks: Nationals Moneyline +140 and Total Under 10 Runs (Greg's Handicap: Nationals +121 and Total 9.1)
Game 3: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox - 7:15 PM 🎯The season for Red Sox's starter Lucas Giolito has been a rollercoaster, posting a 5.51 ERA and a decreased 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to his career average of 9.5. Fellow starter Grant Holmes from the Braves has struggled to start the season with a 4.14 ERA, 5.17 FIP, and 1.8 home runs and 4.7 walks per nine innings. 🔥
🔔 Our Pick: Braves Moneyline (+107)
Game 4: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 8:10 PM 🎯The Rockies offense has been struggling on the road, averaging a miserable 2.2 runs per game with a .189 batting average. However, starting pitcher German Marquez might be due for some positive regression with an 8.27 ERA but a 4.71 FIP and just four home runs allowed across eight starts. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen has a 4.59 ERA but has allowed just 1.1 home runs per nine innings and is generating 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. 💥
🔔 Our Pick: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Under 9 Runs (Greg's Handicapped Total 8.7)
Game 5: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 9:10 PM 🎯Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw makes his season debut in this intriguing matchup. His 4.50 ERA and career-low 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in seven starts in 2024 leave some room for improvement. Angels' Tyler Anderson's 2.58 ERA appears unsustainable, as he supplies a 4.57 FIP, 1.4 home runs, and 3.4 walks per nine innings. 🎲
🔔 Our Picks: Dodgers Run Line -1.5 (-105) and Over 9 Runs (Greg's Handicap: Dodgers -1.5 (-123) and Total 9.6)
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- Greg Peterson, an expert in baseball handicapping, offers his picks for the MLB games on Saturday, May 17, 2025, including his thoughts on the odds for these games.
- In Game 1 between the New York Mets and New York Yankees, Peterson favors the under 9.5 runs, citing the solid performance of Griffin Canning and the stellar bullpens of both teams.
- For Game 2 between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, Peterson suggests betting on the Nationals Moneyline at +140 and the total under 10 runs, based on Kyle Gibson's early season struggles and the lackluster offensive performance of the Orioles.