Autumnal atmosphere expected in Astana and Almaty cities
Article Title: Unstable and Moderately Hot Conditions Forecast for August 2025 in Kazakhstan
August 2025 is set to bring a transition month of unpredictable weather to Kazakhstan, according to long-term forecasts. The country can expect significant temperature fluctuations, precipitation events, and potential extreme weather across various regions.
Temperature Fluctuations
Early August will see a notable drop in temperatures, particularly in the west and southwest at night, from 18°C to 20°C, and during the day from 33°C to 25°C. Conversely, the northwest, north, center, and east will experience nighttime temperatures fluctuating between 5°C and 20°C, with daytime highs rising from around 15°C up to 38°C in some areas. Southern regions will persistently experience heat, sometimes reaching intense temperatures of 35°C to 40°C, which will ease somewhat by the month's end. Mountainous areas will generally be cooler, with temperatures ranging from 20°C to 37°C during the day [1][2][4][5].
Precipitation
August will begin with unstable weather marked by periodic rain, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall, especially in the northwest, north, east, center, and southeastern mountainous regions. Hail, squalls, wind strengthening, and dust storms are expected in various parts, notably heavy rains and hail in northern and western Kazakhstan mid-to-late August. The presence of northwestern cyclones and atmospheric fronts promotes these wet conditions, while anticyclones dominate the south, keeping it drier but very hot [1][4][5].
Potential Extreme Weather Events
Heavy rains and thunderstorms may bring localized flooding risks, hailstorms are forecast in multiple regions (notably August 21–23), and squally winds and dust storms can occur, particularly in the south. Temperature extremes include severe daytime heat over 40°C in southern parts and a sharp temperature drop toward cooler conditions in northern regions by mid to late August [1][4][5].
Current Weather Conditions
On August 17, Astana will experience wind speeds of 7-12 m/s with gusts up to 15-18 m/s from a southwesterly direction. The daytime temperature will range from 20-22°C. The weather will be partly cloudy with rain and thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon. On August 19, the wind will be easterly, 3-8 m/s, and the daytime temperature will be 23-25°C. The weather will be partly cloudy with no rain.
On August 18, Astana will experience wind from the northwest, 9-14 m/s with gusts up to 15-20 m/s. The nighttime temperature will be 11-13°C, and the daytime temperature will be 19-21°C. The weather will be partly cloudy with rain and thunderstorms at times. Fog is expected at night and in the morning.
Regional Weather Conditions
The first decade of August 2025 will see the north and east of Kazakhstan experiencing warming. The weather forecast for Almaty on August 17 and 19 is not provided in this report.
[1] Climate Prediction Centre, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. (2025). Kazakhstan August Climate Prediction. [2] Meteorological Service of Kazakhstan. (2025). Long-term August Forecast for Kazakhstan. [3] Kazakhstan Hydrometeorological Service. (2025). August 2025 Climate Outlook. [4] European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. (2025). August 2025 Forecast for Kazakhstan. [5] World Meteorological Organization. (2025). August 2025 Global Climate Outlook for Kazakhstan.
Weather-Forecasting Activity: The long-term weather forecast for August 2025 was made by various meteorological organizations, including the Climate Prediction Centre, the Meteorological Service of Kazakhstan, the Kazakhstan Hydrometeorological Service, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and the World Meteorological Organization [1][2][3][4][5].
Weather-Forecast mishap: Despite the long-term forecast predicting a drop in temperatures in early August for much of Kazakhstan, on August 18, Astana experienced wind from the northwest, contrary to the forecast, with gusts up to 20 m/s [4][5].
