Anticipated Hurricane Activity in 2025: Brace Yourself for Potential Major Storms according to NOAA's Forecast
Rethunk! Your Hassle-Free Hurricane Guide
Looks like another stormy ride's ahead! As June 1 kicks off the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, brace yourself for a likely busier-than-usual hurricane season, according to experts at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), part of NOAA's National Weather Service.
Each year, from June 1 to November 30, forecasters at the CPC share their thoughts on the upcoming hurricane season. For this year, CPC researchers predict that the chances of an "above normal" season stand at a whopping 60%, with a potential for 13 to 19 named storms. Six to ten of these could become hurricanes, while three to five might escalate into major hurricanes, defined as Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
If you're wondering whether this is a consecutive year of chaos, you're on the money. The 2024 hurricane season saw catastrophic storms, leaving many picking up the pieces. NOAA leaders stress the importance of forecasting, ensuring as many people are prepared for hurricane season as possible.
To examine the potential busy-ness of the season, forecasters take into account factors like ocean temperatures, wind shear, ENSO conditions, and the West African monsoon — where most Atlantic hurricanes originate. Higher ocean temperatures mean more energy for storm formation, while less wind shear reduces chances of storm disruption. Additionally, a northward shift in the West African monsoon may boost tropical wave production, helping to create stronger storms.
So, what does this mean for you? It's time to take proactive steps, says Ken Graham, the NOAA's National Weather Service Director. Make a plan, gather supplies, and be ready before a storm threatens. And remember, the outlook from NOAA does not predict landfalling storms, so stay tuned for updates as the season progresses.
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