Anticipated Bouts in UFC Fight Night: Prognostications for Kape vs Almabayev, along with Parlay Recommendations
Rewritten Article:
Attention Fights Fans! Brace yourselves for a thriller as the UFC returns to the Apex in Las Vegas for UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev, featuring an exciting headline showdown between two flyweight powerhouses - Manel Kape and Asu Almabayev.
A victory for either of these fighters could catapult them into a title shot against the likes of Tatsuro Taira, Amir Albazi, or even Brandon Royval. This fight night might not be stacked with ranked fighters, but it's overflowing with great betting opportunities on March 1st! Let's dive in and explore the odds for UFC Fight Night 253.
Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev
March 1, Saturday @ UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Stream it on ESPN+ or via a UFC Pass
KO/TKO/DQ
Manel Kape, the 6th ranked contender in the UFC Flyweight rankings, is favored in this bout, but it's set to be a nail-biting encounter. With 20 wins and seven losses, Kape has a knack for finishing fights with brutal body kicks, punches, and breathtaking flying knees. His last triumph came in December 2024, securing a TKO against Bruno Gustavo da Silva. However, he suffered a defeat at the hands of up-and-comer Muhammad Mokaev, who later left the UFC for the Brave Combat Federation.
180
But our worry for Kape lies in his opponent: Asu Almabayev, a unique fighter in every sense, and currently on a six-fight winning streak since 2017. The Kazakh fighter has only lost twice out of his 23 matches and has never been defeated by decision at the UFC Apex. Almabayev, who sharpened his skills in the Brave Combat Federation, specializes in forcing submissions - a formidable threat against Kape, who has been finished by submission just twice in his career.
1800
Betting Odds
The five-round bout is scheduled, but a total rounds betting line of 4.5 indicates that a quick finish isn't out of the question. According to the top UFC betting apps, Kape has the highest probability of scoring a KO/TKO/DQ, while Almabayev poses a real threat with his impressive takedown average and potential for submissions.
Submission
| Method of Victory | Manuel Kape | Asu Almabayev || --- | --- | --- || KO/TKO/DQ | 180 | 1800 || Submission | 1000 | 1200 || Decision | 180 | 250 |
1000
While Almabayev could potentially sneak in a submission or watch Kape tire, we predict they'll last at least 3.5 rounds. If we have to pick a winner, we'll back Kape – the more experienced of the two – but he'll likely claim victory by a close decision.
1200
Over 3.5 Rounds @ -230
Manel Kape Win via Decision @ +180
Decision
More Submissions on the Horizon?
180
The middleweight bout between Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez intrigues us, with Brundage being a Muay Thai specialist who can inflict immense damage, and Marquez having exceptional jiu jitsu skills and the ability to force submissions. The odds suggest a fast-paced affair, and we believe Marquez can use the compact Apex cage to slip past Brundage and secure a submission.
250
Julian Marquez via Submission @ +250
Another engaging matchup is the welterweight showdown between Danny Barlow and Sam Patterson, as both fighters search for their big break on March 1st. Barlow is the heavily favored newcomer, but Patterson, another Dana White Contender Series alumni, has experience facing top-tier opponents. He's lost just once in his career and is knowledgeable in the art of submissions.
In this clash, we're rooting for the underdog Patterson. Despite the challenges in getting close to Barlow without taking damage, we think Patterson can defy the odds and claim a hard-fought victory.
Sam Patterson Moneyline @ +230
Your Parlay Picks
Though this event isn't packed with high-profile fighters, the betting value is promising. If you're looking for some parlay ideas, we've got you covered. Our recommended parlay picks for Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev –
- Manuel Kape via Decision
- Julian Marquez via Submission
Connecting these odds results in a potential payout of 880. A $10 wager would net $98.00. Alternatively, you can explore different combinations, or consider an SGP bet on Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev to manage risk levels according to your comfort.
Manuel Kape via Decision & Julian Marquez via Submission @ 880
Whether you're an old hand at sports betting or just starting your journey into the world of UFC wagers, considering expert analysis and betting tools can refine your sports betting strategy. Keep an eye out for the latest UFC action and expert insights on our Twitter account, @our websiteus.
Don't Miss Out!
Daniel Craymer is a passionate bettor and a sports editor at our website. His calculated approach to sports betting, combining careful strategy with the use of betting tools, helps novice bettors learn how to make informed wagers on the UFC and other sports.
Fans of UFC are likely to be drawn to the sports-betting opportunities presented by the upcoming UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev, as a win for either fighter could potentially force them into a title shot against top contenders. UFC Flyweight rankings' 6th-ranked Manel Kape, although favored, faces a formidable opponent in Kazakh fighter Asu Almabayev, who has never been defeated by decision at the UFC Apex and specializes in forcing submissions. Even though Almabayev poses a significant threat, sports bettors might find a higher probability in Kape's KO/TKO/DQ odds, but the bout also presents exciting prospects for submission enthusiasts to explore in other matches, such as the intriguing middleweight bout between Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez.
