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"All major border disputes in the Arctic have been settled"

Established pathways for commerce at the Arctic Circle

"All major border disputes in the Arctic have been settled"

Hey there! Let's sail through the fascinating world of emerging trade routes in the melting Arctic. It's not just a battlefield for geopolitical strategists anymore; it's the next big frontier for global trade!

For decades, the Arctic was known for its endless ice expanses. But things are changing, and not just because of Donald Trump's fascination with Greenland. Various world powers have had their eyes on this vast region for years. As the ice continues to thin, new shipping routes are emerging, offering endless possibilities for the world economy, sans conflict.

Klaus-Peter Saalbach, a security and geopolitics expert at the University of Osnabrück, sheds light on these fascinating developments in the podcast "Wieder was gelernt." He highlights three potential routes that could redefine international trade:

The Alluring Northeast Passage

The approximately 14,000-kilometer-long Northeast Passage, running along the Russian coast, is a significant interest for Moscow and Beijing. Russia and China believe this route will become a crucial trade route, particularly for bilateral trade between the two nations.

So far, 97 cargo ships sailed this route last year, mostly carrying oil from Russia to China. Despite this increase, it's still a drop in the ocean compared to other international trade routes. The Northeast Passage could be a long-term alternative to the current dominating southern shipping route, offering a shorter distance and potentially reducing travel costs.

The Elusive Transpolar Sea Route: A Dream Hub for Iceland?

In the coming years, the Transpolar Sea Route, passing through the center of the Arctic Ocean, could also become ice-free. If this happens, Iceland could become a crucial hub for world trade, thanks to its strategic location and volcanic landscapes suitable for a major transshipment port.

Oil shipped intermittently from Jamal region (marked in red) to China via Northeast Passage, a route taken by Russia.

The Northwest Passage: A Struggle between Canada and the USA

The Northwest Passage, connecting the Atlantic to the Pacific, has been a strategic target for centuries, with disastrous attempts like the British "Erebus" and "Terror" expedition back in 1845. Although this route may still be economically unviable today, it could become navigable in the future.

However, disputes over who has territorial sovereignty over the sea route between Canada and the USA have yet to be resolved. Despite this, most other Arctic nations have largely settled their disputes, such as Norway and Russia in the Barents Sea and Canada and Denmark regarding Greenland.

Even the weirdest disputes have been resolved, like the "Whisky War" between Canada and Denmark over the uninhabited Hans Island, with a history of both sides leaving bottles of local spirits next to their national flags.

A Promise of Peace in the Arctic?

Otherwise, most major border disputes in the Arctic have been resolved. The only remaining issue is the Gakkel Ridge in the Arctic Ocean, where the question of affiliation remains unclear. Regardless, it's refreshing to see that in the Arctic, almost all border conflicts have been settled, and there is no longer any competition between major players like Washington and Moscow in the North Polar region.

So there you have it! The melting of Arctic ice represents a golden opportunity for new trade routes, but it also poses significant challenges. Who knows what the future holds for these amazing regions? Stay curious!

Listen to more episodes of "Wieder was gelernt" on ntv's app, RTL, Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, and Spotify. If you have any questions, feel free to email us at [email protected]. Don't forget to check out our privacy policy and the source of this article at ntv.de. Happy exploring!

  1. By 2023, the community and employment policies of various world powers must strategically address the increasing shipping activities in the Arctic, especially with the anticipated ice-free Transpolar Sea Route, posing opportunities for Iceland as a potential hub for World Trade.
  2. In light of the recently developed trade routes in the Arctic, especially the Northeast Passage between Russia and China, it is essential to update the employment policy to accommodate the growing number of cargo ships, such as the 97 vessels that sailed this route last year.
  3. As major border conflicts in the Arctic have largely been settled, it is important for the Community policy to focus on fostering cooperation and diplomacy among the Arctic nations, ensuring peace and mutual benefits when shipping through newly-emerging trade routes, such as the Northwest Passage between Canada and the USA.
Tiny Hans Island, indicated by the circle, located in the Nares Strait.

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