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$415M options pin Bitcoin in range - Can BTC hold $85K?

Bitcoin faces its largest options expiry this week - The "quarterly options expiry." Can BTC withstand the expected volatility?

On the right at the top corner there is coin on an object and there are texts written on the...
On the right at the top corner there is coin on an object and there are texts written on the object.

$415M options pin Bitcoin in range - Can BTC hold $85K?

Bitcoin is facing a critical week as over $415 million in options contracts near expiry. The largest batch, worth $207.5 million, will settle on 26 December. Analysts warn this could trigger sharp price swings in the coming days.

The upcoming expiry is dominated by institutional players and derivatives-market participants. Deribit, the largest trading venue, holds most of the open interest, with bullish bets clustered around $100,000–$120,000 strike prices. At the same time, a significant concentration of put options sits near $85,000, totalling around $1.4 billion in open interest.

Bitcoin’s price has been stuck below $90,000 during this quarterly ‘triple witching’ period. On 19 December, a 3.08% move suggested buyers were stepping in at support levels. Yet the market remains range-bound, with no clear direction ahead of the expiry. The key zone to watch is $85,000–$88,000. Heavy put interest there could act as a magnet for the price, but hedging activity and gamma exposure may still cause wild swings. If bulls manage to defend this support through expiry, it could set the stage for a breakout into 2026. If not, further volatility is likely.

The next seven days will be pivotal for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. With institutional players holding large positions, the outcome of this expiry could shape market sentiment well into the new year. Traders are bracing for a period of heightened uncertainty.

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