Germany's Shot at the Eurovision Song Contest 2025: A Mixed Bag
2025 Eurovision Song Contest Odds Plummet for German Entry - Was Raab's Decision an error?
The sibling powerhouse duo Abor & Tynna have snagged Germany's ticket to the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 in Basel, following their victory in entertainer Stefan Raab's show Chefsache ESC. But can they win against the odds?
Germany's Eurovision journey has been a rollercoaster ride, with disappointing finishes in recent years. However, the stage was set for a change, with Stefan Raab on the helm. Yet, a look at the current betting odds might leave fans disillusioned.
From Victory to Vegas Odds: The Trend
After the final on March 1st, Abor & Tynna emerged victorious with their catchy tune "Baller". The song quickly made its way to the 13th spot on the official German charts and has amassed nearly 3 million streams on Spotify. Despite the initial buzz, the duo and their pre-selection have faced heavy criticism.
Bookmakers place Germany at the 24th spot out of 26, with the odds for a win by Abor & Tynna standing at a disheartening 101.00. This grim prognosis could be even more bitter considering that some nations yet to determine their song for the Eurovision Song Contest are already ahead of Germany in the odds.
The Eurovision Heavyweights: Whom to Root For
The final will take place on May 17th in Switzerland. Among the favorites to win are Sweden's KAJ, Austria's JJ, Israel's Yuval Raphael, France's Louane, and the Netherlands' Claude[1]. Unfortunately for German ESC fans, entertainment bets are not permitted in Germany, as per the Gambling State Treaty[2].
Can Germany Break the Losing Streak?
Since Germany last won at the Eurovision Song Contest in 2010 with Lena Meyer-Landrut, the past 14 years have been tough on German participants. Germany has ended last four times since 2010, and finished second-to-last three times in recent years[1]. Unlike 2018, when Michael Schulte reached 4th place with his ballad You Let Me Walk Alone, it seems unlikely that Abor & Tynna will pull off the same feat.
Critics argue that "Baller"'s catchy tune might not translate as well to an international audience. And it's not just the song—the criticism extends to Tynna's voice and the song's simple lyrics[2]. Adding fuel to the fire, Stefan Raab and the pre-selection process have been under fire for weeks, with the short-term rule change being a major point of contention[3].
Many fans believe that the jury's pre-selection prevented the audience favorite Feuerschwanz from qualifying for the final, potentially costing Germany a better chance at winning[3]. As discussions continue to unfold, one thing is certain—the initial excitement seems to have faded, leaving many fans questioning Stefan Raab's decisions during the pre-selection.
[1] "Germany and the Eurovision Song Contest: No Success Story in Recent Years." Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#:~:text=Since%20Germany%20last%20won%20the%20ESC%20in%202010%20with,In%20total%2C%20German%20entries%20finished%20second,[2] "German ESC fans have no possibility to bet on the winner of the competition." Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#:~:text=In%20Germany%2C%20entertainment%20bets%20are%20not,only%20sports%20bets%20are%20allowed%20through%20the,[3] "Not only bookmakers seem to dislike 'Baller' by Abor & Tynna. Criticism of the song is also piling up in social media." Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#:~:text=Not%20only%20bookmakers%20seem%20to,arising%20in%20social%20media,[4] "Sweden's KAJ leads Eurovision Song Contest odds as Austria's JJ, Israel's Yuval Raphael and Netherlands' Lauren Wood also in contention." PA Media, https://www.the-sun.com/entertainment/7068611/eurovision-song-contest-odds-kaj-ajdin-serhat/[5] "Germany's chances of winning the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 are considered low by bookmakers." Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#:~:text=Germany%27s%20chances%20of%20winning,This%20applies,%20for%20example,%20to%20France%20and%20Georgia.
- Despite Stefan Raab's efforts and the victory of Abor & Tynna in his show Chefsache ESC, it looks unlikely that Germany will win the Eurovision Song Contest 2025, with bookmakers placing them at the 24th spot out of 26.
- The duo's song "Baller" has been met with criticism, casting doubt on its ability to translate well to an international audience, and Tynna's voice and the song's simple lyrics have also been targets of critique.
- Stefan Raab and the pre-selection process have been under fire for weeks, with the short-term rule change being a major point of contention, potentially costing Germany a better chance at winning.
- Bookmakers are currently favoring Sweden's KAJ, Austria's JJ, Israel's Yuval Raphael, France's Louane, and the Netherlands' Claude. Unfortunately for German ESC fans, entertainment bets are not permitted in Germany.
- Since Germany last won at the Eurovision Song Contest in 2010 with Lena Meyer-Landrut, the past 14 years have been tough on German participants, with many disappointing finishes and several instances of ending last or second-to-last.
