2025 Champions League Semifinals Match Preview: Inter Milan versus Barcelona

The coveted Champions League final spot is up for grabs as Inter Milan squares off against FC Barcelona. Let's dive into our Champions League odds analysis for this captivating matchup and deliver our Inter Milan-Barcelona prediction.

In the first leg of this UCL encounter, Marcus Thuram scored the opening goal for Inter Milan just a minute into the game, giving them a 1-0 lead. Denzel Dumfries added to the tally in the 21st minute, with Lamine Yamal scoring for Barcelona in the 24th. Following an intermission, Ferran Torres tied the game for Barcelona in the 38th minute. Denzel Dumfries secured another goal for Inter in the second half, but Yann Sommer's own-goal later evened the score. Barcelona dominated the shot count, putting nine shots on target among their 19 overall shots, while Inter managed just three on-target shots among their seven attempts.

Champions League Odds: Inter Milan-Barcelona Odds

Inter Milan: +220
Barcelona: +115
Draw: +270
Over 3.5 goals: -104
Under 3.5 goals: -118

How to Watch Inter Milan vs. Barcelona

Time: 3:00 PM ET/ 12:00 PM PT
TV: CBS
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Let's explore why each team has an advantage in the second leg.

Why Inter Milan Will Win

Prolific goal-scoring: Inter Milan has netted in 46 of their 53 total fixtures this year, amassing 103 goals (1.04 per game) in the process. In UCL play, they have scored in 11 of 13 games and put up a solid 1.69 goals per game. Inter Milan has scored in all six home fixtures in UCL play, averaging over two goals per game at home.
Key players: Lautaro Martinez has tallied eight goals in UCL play, while Marcus Thuram leads the way for Inter in Serie A play with 14 goals and four assists. Hakan Calhanoglu has also contributed with three goals and an assist in UCL play so far.
Solid defense: Inter Milan has allowed just 48 goals across 53 total fixtures this year, with a particularly strong defensive record in UCL play. They have kept the opposition scoreless on four separate occasions at home and allowed just 13 goals in their six home games in the Champions League.

Why Barcelona Will Win

High-scoring performance: Barcelona has scored in 52 of 54 games this season, with a goal-per-game average of 2.91. They have managed a remarkable 40 goals in their 13 UCL games so far, averaging 3.08 goals per game in Champions League play. Barcelona has found the back of the net in every UCL game, including the six road games in UCL play.
Twin attack power: The combination of Robert Lewandowski and Raphina has fueled Barcelona's success so far. Lewandowski has scored 25 goals and supplied two assists in La Liga, complemented by 11 goals in UCL play. Raphinha has netted 12 times and provided eight assists in UCL play, while scoring 15 goals and notching nine assists in domestic league action.
Consistent performance: Barcelona has been solid on defense in UCL play, conceding just 20 goals (1.54 per game), despite giving up many more goals on home turf. They have recorded one clean sheet at home in UCL play, while surrendering 13 goals in their six road games in the Champions League.

Final Inter Milan-Barcelona Prediction & Pick

Inter Milan has dominated at home, claiming four clean sheets in their opening four games and allowing just a single goal to Feyenoord. Similar defensive resilience against Barcelona is expected, even though they have struggled slightly in recent Serie A matches. Barcelona may show signs of weakness on the road in UCL play, as they've conceded over two goals per game. However, Barcelona's attacking depth and home advantage should see them through to victory.

Final Inter Milan-Barcelona Prediction & Pick: Barcelona ML (+115)

In this highly anticipated Champions League encounter, Inter Milan aims to capitalize on their strong home performance, having keptfour clean sheets in their initial four home games and conceding just a single goal to Feyenoord.
Inter Milan's offense, led by Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram, and Hakan Calhanoglu, has been prolific, scoring 103 goals with a 1.04 average per game across all matches this year.
Barcelona's twin attack force of Robert Lewandowski and Raphina has been instrumental in their successful run, with Lewandowski scoring 25 goals and providing two assists in La Liga, and Raphinha netting 12 goals in UCL play.
Despite Inter Milan's solid defense at home, Barcelona's offensive might might be decisive, as their high-scoring performance (2.91 goals per game this season) and road success (scoring in every UCL road game) could prove too much for Inter Milan to handle.
With both teams displaying strong attacking capabilities, the odds for an Over 3.5 goals (-104) might be an intriguing choice for bettors.
However, with Barcelona's consistent performance, allowing just 1.54 goals per game in UCL play, and their substantial edge in attacking depth, they are likely to edge out Inter Milan for the crucial Champions League spot, making them a sound pick for the Match Odds (+115).