Without external aid from the US and NATO, Ukraine's military might struggle to withstand the Russian invasion for an extended period. According to a CNN report, a senior US military official projects a potential timeline of "months" before summer 2024, with a worst-case scenario preceding a significant setback or outright defeat. However, it must be emphasized that this is just an estimate based on current conditions and doesn't account for potential shifts in the conflict.
The winter weather also poses challenges for Ukraine's defenders in Avdiivka, as they face the daunting task of repelling Russian attacks while contending with the harsh climate. Meanwhile, Western intelligence agencies have hinted at Russian plans to declare 'victory' over Ukraine and NATO on the third anniversary of the invasion – a move intended to undermine morale and destabilize the country.
Ukrainian resistance forces in Mariupol have exploited a window of opportunity by targeting a Russian officer's vehicle in an ambush, inflicting significant damage. Additionally, Ukrainian forces have successfully intercepted and downed several Iranian drones launched by Russian forces in recent days, showcasing their resilience and determination to defend their country.
As Russia continues its propaganda campaigns on platforms like TikTok, Western allies have stepped up their support, with Lithuania delivering millions of cartridges, shells, and other military equipment to Ukraine. This external assistance is crucial in maintaining Ukraine's ability to resist Russian aggression and, ultimately, preserve its sovereignty. Nevertheless, the specific duration Ukraine could endure without this aid remains uncertain, as the conflict remains highly dynamic.